Application of KNN-based Isometric Mapping and Fuzzy C-Means Algorithm to Predict Short-term Rockburst Risk in Deep Underground Projects

Abstract

The rockburst phenomenon is the major source of the high number of casualties and fatalities during the construction of deep underground projects. Rockburst poses a severe hazard to the safety of employees and equipment in subsurface mining operations. It is a hot topic in recent years to examine and overcome rockburst risks for the safe installation of deep urban engineering designs. Therefore, for a cost-effective and safe underground environment, it is crucial to determine and predict rockburst intensity prior to its occurrence. A novel model is presented in this study that combines unsupervised and supervised machine learning approaches in order to predict rockburst risk. The database for this study was built using authentic microseismic monitoring occurrences from the Jinping-II hydropower project in China, which consists of 93 short-term rockburst occurrences with six influential features. The prediction process was succeeded in three steps. Firstly, the original rockburst database's magnification was reduced using a state-of-the-art method called isometric mapping (ISOMAP) algorithm. Secondly, the dataset acquired from ISOMAP was categorized using the fuzzy c-means algorithm (FCM) to reduce the minor spectral heterogeneity impact in homogenous areas. Thirdly, K-Nearest neighbour (KNN) was employed to anticipate different levels of short-term rockburst datasets. The KNN's classification performance was examined using several performance metrics. The proposed model correctly classified about 96% of the rockbursts events in the testing datasets. Hence, the suggested model is a realistic and effective tool for evaluating rockburst intensity. Therefore, the proposed model can be employed to forecast the rockburst risk in the early stages of underground projects that will help to minimize casualties from rockburst.