Abstract:In order to describe the lactation curves of milk yield traits, six standard growth models (Brody, logistic, Gompertz, Schumacher, Von Bertalanffy and Morgan) were used. Data were 911,144 test-day records for unadjusted milk yield , 4% fat-corrected milk yield and energy-corrected milk yield from the first lactation of Iranian Holstein cows, which were collected on 834 dairy herds in the period from 2000 to 2011. Each model was fitted to monthly production records of dairy cows using the NLIN and MODEL procedu… Show more
“…For example, Journal of Dairy Research knowing when peak milk yield will occur can assist dairy farmers or managers in planning feeding strategies to maintain peak yield for as long as possible (López et al, 2015). Although several studies have compared non-linear models to fit the lactation curve for milk yield and composition, there are few reports on modeling the lactation curve for cumulative milk yield (Ghavi Hossein-Zadeh, 2014, 2017López et al, 2015) and no reports for cumulative milk composition traits. Therefore, the current study is the first to report on fitting cumulative milk fat and protein yield data, in particular assessing a sinusoidal function as an alternative to conventional models.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The dataset spanned 2000 through 2011 and is part of the data kept by the Animal Breeding Centre and Promotion of Animal Products of Iran. A detailed description of the data was reported in a previous study (Ghavi Hossein-Zadeh, 2017).…”
The aim of the work reported here was to investigate the appropriateness of a sinusoidal function by applying it to model the cumulative lactation curves for milk yield and composition in primiparous Holstein cows, and to compare it with three conventional growth models (linear, Richards and Morgan). Data used in this study were 911 144 test-day records for milk, fat and protein yields, which were recorded on 834 dairy herds from 2000 to 2011 by the Animal Breeding Centre and Promotion of Animal Products of Iran. Each function was fitted to the test-day production records using appropriate procedures in SAS (PROC REG for the linear model and PROC NLIN for the Richards, Morgan and sinusoidal equations) and the parameters were estimated. The models were tested for goodness of fit using adjusted coefficient of determination $\lpar {R_{{\rm adj}}^2 } \rpar $, root mean square error (RMSE), Akaike's information criterion (AIC) and the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). $R_{{\rm adj}}^2 $ values were generally high (>0.999), implying suitable fits to the data, and showed little differences among the models for cumulative yields. The sinusoidal equation provided the lowest values of RMSE, AIC and BIC, and therefore the best fit to the lactation curve for cumulative milk, fat and protein yields. The linear model gave the poorest fit to the cumulative lactation curve for all production traits. The current results show that classical growth functions can be fitted accurately to cumulative lactation curves for production traits, but the new sinusoidal equation introduced herein, by providing best goodness of fit, can be considered a useful alternative to conventional models in dairy research.
“…For example, Journal of Dairy Research knowing when peak milk yield will occur can assist dairy farmers or managers in planning feeding strategies to maintain peak yield for as long as possible (López et al, 2015). Although several studies have compared non-linear models to fit the lactation curve for milk yield and composition, there are few reports on modeling the lactation curve for cumulative milk yield (Ghavi Hossein-Zadeh, 2014, 2017López et al, 2015) and no reports for cumulative milk composition traits. Therefore, the current study is the first to report on fitting cumulative milk fat and protein yield data, in particular assessing a sinusoidal function as an alternative to conventional models.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The dataset spanned 2000 through 2011 and is part of the data kept by the Animal Breeding Centre and Promotion of Animal Products of Iran. A detailed description of the data was reported in a previous study (Ghavi Hossein-Zadeh, 2017).…”
The aim of the work reported here was to investigate the appropriateness of a sinusoidal function by applying it to model the cumulative lactation curves for milk yield and composition in primiparous Holstein cows, and to compare it with three conventional growth models (linear, Richards and Morgan). Data used in this study were 911 144 test-day records for milk, fat and protein yields, which were recorded on 834 dairy herds from 2000 to 2011 by the Animal Breeding Centre and Promotion of Animal Products of Iran. Each function was fitted to the test-day production records using appropriate procedures in SAS (PROC REG for the linear model and PROC NLIN for the Richards, Morgan and sinusoidal equations) and the parameters were estimated. The models were tested for goodness of fit using adjusted coefficient of determination $\lpar {R_{{\rm adj}}^2 } \rpar $, root mean square error (RMSE), Akaike's information criterion (AIC) and the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). $R_{{\rm adj}}^2 $ values were generally high (>0.999), implying suitable fits to the data, and showed little differences among the models for cumulative yields. The sinusoidal equation provided the lowest values of RMSE, AIC and BIC, and therefore the best fit to the lactation curve for cumulative milk, fat and protein yields. The linear model gave the poorest fit to the cumulative lactation curve for all production traits. The current results show that classical growth functions can be fitted accurately to cumulative lactation curves for production traits, but the new sinusoidal equation introduced herein, by providing best goodness of fit, can be considered a useful alternative to conventional models in dairy research.
“…There are different performance criteria for measuring goodness of fit typically summarizing discrepancy between observed values and estimated values by the prediction model. We analyze the performance of proposed models, in the viewpoint of root-mean-square error (RMSE) or the residual standard deviation defined as where RSS denotes the square root of residual sum of squares, N and p are the number of observations and parameters in the equation, respectively [47].…”
Section: Optimal Vof-hsv Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For estimating the Bayesian information criterion (BIC), we apply the following formula [47] Moreover, the relative quality of statistical models for a given set of data can be analyzed in the perspective of the Akaike information criterion (AIC) defined as [48] A lower RMSE , BIC or AIC value indicates a better fit.…”
In this paper, a numerical technique is developed to discretize variable-order fractional Heston differential equation. The proposed strategy is followed by an optimization technology, genetic algorithm, for tuning the unknown parameters in the proposed model. The performance of the model is analyzed to profit and loss 500 close index from the US stock markets. Simulations illustrate the application of the proposed technique.
“…The use of mathematical models to describe the shape of lactation curves in genetic programmes allows establishing strategies to optimise selection of more efficient genotypes for the farmer in several production systems (Oliveira et al 2007;Hossein-Zadeh 2017). In the last decade, many mathematical models were developed to describe milk yield along lactation (Wood 1967;Ali and Schaeffer 1987;Wilmink 1987).…”
The objective of this study was to evaluate the effect of heterosis on the lactation curve components of Girolando cattle obtained by fitting different mathematical models. Data consisted of 258,891 test day milk yield records of the first lactation from 37,965 cows of Minas Gerais State (Brazil) between 1998 and 2014. Those cows were from the Holstein breed (H), Gyr breed (G) and six genetic cross-breedings of Holstein  Gyr, (1/4H, 3/4G (1/4H); 3/8H, 5/8G (3/8H); 1/2H, 1/ 2G (1/2H), 5/8H, 3/8G (5/8H); 3/4H, 1/4G (3/4H); 7/8H, 1/8G (7/8H)), which is officially named as Girolando breed in Brazil. The Wood's linear model (WD lin ), Wood's non-linear model (WD nlin ), Wilmink's model (WL) and Ali and Schaeffer's model (ASH) were used for estimating the peak milk yield (PY), time to peak yield (PT), 305-day milk yield (TMY) and four different persistency measures (P, P 2:1 , P 3:1 and P 3:2 ). Regardless of the fitted model, the highest estimates of PY and TMY were for the H group. The heterosis effect was significant (p < .001) for TMY and all components of the lactation curve, except for P 2:1 . Girolando cattle presented a heterosis effect of 12.30% and 13.03% for PY and TMY, respectively. The magnitude of heterosis effect was larger for PT (24.18%), whereas the different persistency measures presented the smallest magnitude of heterosis values. The producers may use the different genetic groups to benefit from the heterosis mainly for the time to peak, peak yield and 305-day milk yield.
HIGHLIGHTSGirolando cows in production systems in Brazil has shown positive results. The greater productive efficiency may be because of heterosis on the production. Thus effect of heterosis on lactation curve can contribute to the improvement of the production system.
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