Application of dynamic contributing area for modelling the hydrologic response of the Assiniboine River Basin to a changing climate

Dibike, Yonas; Muhammad, Ameer; Shrestha, Rajesh R.; Spence, Christopher; Bonsal, Barrie; Rham, Laurent de; Rowley, Jaden; Evenson, Grey R.; Stadnyk, Tricia A.

doi:10.1016/j.jglr.2020.10.010

Cited by 18 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 49 publications

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“…Future projections demonstrated greater sensitivity in the western tributaries to changes in future climate (warmer temperatures and higher precipitation) than the eastern (Quebec basin) tributaries resulting from the inflow-limited nature of the prairie drainage region and sensitivity to changes in evapotranspiration [8]. Similar findings have been reported in the literature for smaller, headwater basins of the Nelson River that are heavily influenced by the dynamic connectivity of the Prairie Pothole region [33][34][35].…”

Section: Continental Interior and Hudson Baysupporting

confidence: 75%

Canadian Continental-Scale Hydrology under a Changing Climate: A Review

Stadnyk

Déry

2021

Water

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Canada, like other high latitude cold regions on Earth, is experiencing some of the most accelerated and intense warming resulting from global climate change. In the northern regions, Arctic amplification has resulted in warming two to three times greater than global mean temperature trends. Unprecedented warming is matched by intensification of wet and dry regions and hydroclimatic cycles, which is altering the spatial and seasonal distribution of surface waters in Canada. Diagnosing and tracking hydrologic change across Canada requires the implementation of continental-scale prediction models owing the size of Canada’s drainage basins, their distribution across multiple eco- and climatic zones, and the scarcity and paucity of observational networks. This review examines the current state of continental-scale climate change across Canada and the anticipated impacts to freshwater availability, including the role of anthropogenic regulation. The review focuses on continental and regional-scale prediction that underpins operational design and long-term resource planning and management in Canada. While there are significant process-based changes being experienced within Canadian catchments that are equally—if not more so—critical for community water availability, the focus of this review is on the cumulative effects of climate change and anthropogenic regulation for the Canadian freshwater supply.

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Section: Continental Interior and Hudson Baysupporting

confidence: 75%

Canadian Continental-Scale Hydrology under a Changing Climate: A Review

Stadnyk

Déry

2021

Water

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“…With mounting threats to water security in the Saskatchewan River Basin, 34 and large-scale irrigation development planned 86 directly upstream, understanding and protection of this key drinking water resource in the face of change is increasingly critical. Climate models for the prairie region continue to point to increased future warming 87 and there is a growing body of evidence suggesting harmful blooms and their toxins will increase in shallow, polymictic prairie lakes like Buffalo Pound. 12 The impacts of this warming may be an increasingly toxic mid-season N-fixing bloom which could exacerbate the challenges for toxin removal.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Early and late cyanobacterial bloomers in a shallow, eutrophic lake

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Venkiteswaran

Simon

et al. 2022

Environ. Sci.: Processes Impacts

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“…With mounting threats to water security in the Saskatchewan River Basin 34 , and large-scale irrigation development planned 86 directly upstream, understanding and protection of this key drinking water resource in the face of change is increasingly critical. Climate models for the prairie region continue to point to increased future warming 87 and there is a growing body of evidence suggesting harmful blooms and their toxins will increase in shallow, polymictic prairie lakes like Buffalo Pound 12 . The impacts of this warming may be an increasingly toxic mid-season N-fixing bloom which could exacerbate the challenges for toxin removal.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%