2018
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0138-5
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Anthropogenic warming exacerbates European soil moisture droughts

Abstract: Global warming may exacerbate soil moisture droughts. However, evaluations of future droughts are not conclusive because of the uncertainty in estimates of future warming. Here, we estimate the impacts of differential climate change at 1-3 K on the largest soil moisture droughts across Europe to understand the implications of the goal of the 2015 Paris climate change agreement to constrain global warming to below 1.5 degrees. The results show that under an increase of 3 K compared to 1.5 K, drought area will i… Show more

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Cited by 498 publications
(390 citation statements)
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References 40 publications
(15 reference statements)
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“…These changes have contributed to the changes in the spatial distribution and trends in concurrent droughts and hot extremes in northwest China. precipitation but also because of increasing evaporation driven by global warming (Dai, 2011;Trenberth, 2011;Sheffield et al, 2012;Greve et al, 2018;Samaniego et al, 2018). The relationship between droughts and hot extremes is widely acknowledged (Vautard et al, 2007;Zampieri et al, 2009;Mueller and Seneviratne, 2012).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…These changes have contributed to the changes in the spatial distribution and trends in concurrent droughts and hot extremes in northwest China. precipitation but also because of increasing evaporation driven by global warming (Dai, 2011;Trenberth, 2011;Sheffield et al, 2012;Greve et al, 2018;Samaniego et al, 2018). The relationship between droughts and hot extremes is widely acknowledged (Vautard et al, 2007;Zampieri et al, 2009;Mueller and Seneviratne, 2012).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This linked trends in global drought patterns to human activities, revealing that anthropogenic actions could continue to influence droughts in the context of climate change (Marvel et al, 2019;Samaniego et al, 2018). For instance, Samaniego et al, 2018 revealed that anthropogenic warming is exacerbating soil moisture droughts in Europe. Anthropogenic climate change has altered the European river and streamflow discharges, suggesting increased water scarcity in renewable freshwater resources (Gudmundsson, Seneviratne, & Zhang, 2017).…”
Section: Drought In the Human-modified Worldmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To accommodate the influences of anthropogenic activities during the Anthropocene, different methods have been used to analyze droughts. The use of historical meteorological datasets, such as rain and temperature measurements as well as satellite-based soil moisture datasets, have been increasingly applied recently (Marvel et al, 2019;Samaniego et al, 2018). Similarly, tree rings, sediments and rocks, vapor pressure deficit data, remotely sensed vegetation greenness, and higher resolution models are the main methods used to analyze/predict droughts (Anderegg et al, 2015;Mishra & Singh, 2010;Stocker et al, 2018Stocker et al, , 2019Xiao et al, 2009).…”
Section: Drought In the Human-modified Worldmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Besides the technical provisions to maintain water of good quality, the uninterrupted availability of water becomes an issue due to climate change manifestations, especially in areas that are now or expected to be hit harder by extended droughts and other related meteorological phenomena. Europe, overall, is expected to face increases in both the extent of geographical areas affected by droughts and in the duration of such climatic events (11).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%