Anomaly-Based Variable Models: Examples of Unusual Track and Extreme Precipitation of Tropical Cyclones
Weihong Qian,
Jun Du,
Yang Ai
et al.
Abstract:Tropical cyclones (TCs) can cause severe wind and rain hazards. Unusual TC tracks and their extreme precipitation forecasts have become two difficult problems faced by conventional models of primitive equations. The case study in this paper finds that the numerical computation of the climatological component in conventional models restricts the prediction of unusual TC tracks. The climatological component should be a forcing quantity, not a predictor in the numerical integration of all models. Anomaly-based va… Show more
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