Abstract:We develop a generalisation of the World Bank (1994) model of forced saving for retirement. This broader model consists of two tiers of second pillar savings – mandated and non-mandated (voluntary). Furthermore, the government can set two types of guarantees on the first (mandated) tier – investment returns and annuity prices – leading to possible cross-subsidisation between the tiers. This has the potential to induce social redistribution, foster a liquid private market for life annuities, and obviate some of… Show more
“…Very few Australians annuitise any wealth [29,32], which is consistent with retirees globally who receive other stable income streams [23,28,32]. The exception is Switzerland, where the majority of retirees do annuitise [9,10]. Results of our modelling confirm that meanstested pension crowds out voluntary annuitisation in retirement, and that annuitisation is optimal sooner rather than later once retired.…”
Section: Introductionsupporting
confidence: 77%
“…Then, the market price of risk λ can be estimated by minimising the sum of squared difference between the observed term structure of the zero coupon market rates 10 and model predicted zero rates (27) over the trading dates t i , i = 1, . .…”
Section: Calibration Of Vasicek Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Taken from https://www.quandl.com/data/RBA/F13-International-Official-Interest-Rates and https:// tradingeconomics.com/australia/inflation-cpi10 Taken from https://www.quandl.com/data/RBA/F17_0-Zero-Coupon-Interest-Rates-Analytical-Series-Yields…”
In this paper we develop a model to find optimal decisions in retirement with respect to the consumption, risky asset allocation, access to annuities, reverse mortgage and the option to scale housing in the presence of a means-tested public pension. To solve the corresponding high-dimensional optimal stochastic control problem, we use the Least-Squares Monte Carlo simulation method. The model is applied in the context of the Australian retirement system. Few retirees in Australia utilise financial products in retirement, such as annuities or reverse mortgages. Since the government-provided means-tested Age Pension in Australia is an indirect annuity stream which is typically higher than the consumption floor, it can be argued that this could be the reason why many Australians do not annuitise. In addition, in Australia where assets allocated to the family home are not included in the means tests of Age Pension, the incentive to over-allocate wealth into housing assets is high. This raises the question whether a retiree is really better off over-allocating into the family home, while accessing home equity later on either via downsizing housing or by taking out a reverse mortgage. Our findings confirm that means-tested pension crowds out voluntary annuitisation in retirement, and that annuitisation is optimal sooner rather than later once retired. We find that it is never optimal to downscale housing when the means-tested pension and a reverse mortgage are available; only when there is no other way to access equity then downsizing is the only option.
“…Very few Australians annuitise any wealth [29,32], which is consistent with retirees globally who receive other stable income streams [23,28,32]. The exception is Switzerland, where the majority of retirees do annuitise [9,10]. Results of our modelling confirm that meanstested pension crowds out voluntary annuitisation in retirement, and that annuitisation is optimal sooner rather than later once retired.…”
Section: Introductionsupporting
confidence: 77%
“…Then, the market price of risk λ can be estimated by minimising the sum of squared difference between the observed term structure of the zero coupon market rates 10 and model predicted zero rates (27) over the trading dates t i , i = 1, . .…”
Section: Calibration Of Vasicek Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Taken from https://www.quandl.com/data/RBA/F13-International-Official-Interest-Rates and https:// tradingeconomics.com/australia/inflation-cpi10 Taken from https://www.quandl.com/data/RBA/F17_0-Zero-Coupon-Interest-Rates-Analytical-Series-Yields…”
In this paper we develop a model to find optimal decisions in retirement with respect to the consumption, risky asset allocation, access to annuities, reverse mortgage and the option to scale housing in the presence of a means-tested public pension. To solve the corresponding high-dimensional optimal stochastic control problem, we use the Least-Squares Monte Carlo simulation method. The model is applied in the context of the Australian retirement system. Few retirees in Australia utilise financial products in retirement, such as annuities or reverse mortgages. Since the government-provided means-tested Age Pension in Australia is an indirect annuity stream which is typically higher than the consumption floor, it can be argued that this could be the reason why many Australians do not annuitise. In addition, in Australia where assets allocated to the family home are not included in the means tests of Age Pension, the incentive to over-allocate wealth into housing assets is high. This raises the question whether a retiree is really better off over-allocating into the family home, while accessing home equity later on either via downsizing housing or by taking out a reverse mortgage. Our findings confirm that means-tested pension crowds out voluntary annuitisation in retirement, and that annuitisation is optimal sooner rather than later once retired. We find that it is never optimal to downscale housing when the means-tested pension and a reverse mortgage are available; only when there is no other way to access equity then downsizing is the only option.
“…While in our model B t increases with a rate of r PL , this is not required in practice, as bonuses do not fall under the legal minimum (see, e.g., Avanzi and Purcal (2014)). In the above, we assume that surpluses are paid out as a lump sum.…”
Section: Situation Of Overfunding and Surplus Distributionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This pressure comes along with operational risks with regard to compliance, higher transparency and governance requirements. Furthermore, one has to consider increasing wealth transfers between younger and older contributor groups (Avanzi and Purcal, 2014;Eling, 2012) or potentially unfair mechanisms regarding employees who change their employer and pension fund. 2 These changes pose challenges to the Swiss system and the ones in other countries.…”
Adequately funding occupational pension funds is a major concern for society in general and individual contributors in particular. The low returns accompanied with high volatility in capital markets have put many funds in distress. While the basic contributions are mostly defined by the state, the fund's situation may require additional contributions from the insureds or may allow the distribution of surpluses. In this paper, we focus on the accumulation phase of a defined contribution plan in Switzerland with minimum returns and annual solvency targets in terms of an assets-to-liabilities funding ratio. From the viewpoint of the pension fund, we evaluate the outcome of selected funding mechanisms on the solvency situation. Taking the perspective of the contributors, we analyze the payoff and the utility. Combining both prospects, we discuss the boundary values that trigger the various participation mechanisms and their impact. We find that remediation measures, while stabilizing the fund, yield a higher volatility in the insureds contributions. Further, surplus distributions lower the relative payoff utility of the funds members and increase the frequency of remediation measures. Overall, insureds and pension funds will profit from a cautious surplus distribution policy that focuses on keeping the stability high and lowers the volatility of the result.
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