Abstract:Precipitation from the previous August to the current June over the last 232 years in Liancheng, China, was reconstructed by a transfer function based on the correlation between tree-ring widths and local meteorological data. The explained variance was 45.3 %, and fluctuations on both annual and decadal scales were captured. Wet periods with precipitation above the 232-year mean occurred from 1777 to 1785, 1802 to 1818, 1844 to 1861, 1889 to 1922 and 1939 to 1960. Dry periods (precipitation below the mean) occ… Show more
“…Shoulu, Mt. Shouyang, Zunisi, and Tulugou (two chronologies at the site) were previously published data (Liu, Lei, Sun, Song, & Li, , Liu, Lei, Sun, Song, & Sun, ; Song et al, ; Sun et al, ). Chronologies from Mt.…”
The Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM) affects ecosystems, biodiversity, and food security of billions of people. In recent decades, ASM strength (as represented by precipitation) has been decreasing, but instrumental measurements span only a short period of time. The initiation and the dynamics of the recent trend are unclear. Here for the first time, we use an ensemble of 10 tree ring‐width chronologies from the west‐central margin of ASM to reconstruct detail of ASM variability back to 1566 CE. The reconstruction captures weak/strong ASM events and also reflects major locust plagues. Notably, we found an unprecedented 80‐year trend of decreasing ASM strength within the context of the 448‐year reconstruction, which is contrary to what is expected from greenhouse warming. Our coupled climate model shows that increasing anthropogenic sulfate aerosol emissions over the Northern Hemisphere could be the dominant factor contributing to the ASM decrease.
“…Shoulu, Mt. Shouyang, Zunisi, and Tulugou (two chronologies at the site) were previously published data (Liu, Lei, Sun, Song, & Li, , Liu, Lei, Sun, Song, & Sun, ; Song et al, ; Sun et al, ). Chronologies from Mt.…”
The Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM) affects ecosystems, biodiversity, and food security of billions of people. In recent decades, ASM strength (as represented by precipitation) has been decreasing, but instrumental measurements span only a short period of time. The initiation and the dynamics of the recent trend are unclear. Here for the first time, we use an ensemble of 10 tree ring‐width chronologies from the west‐central margin of ASM to reconstruct detail of ASM variability back to 1566 CE. The reconstruction captures weak/strong ASM events and also reflects major locust plagues. Notably, we found an unprecedented 80‐year trend of decreasing ASM strength within the context of the 448‐year reconstruction, which is contrary to what is expected from greenhouse warming. Our coupled climate model shows that increasing anthropogenic sulfate aerosol emissions over the Northern Hemisphere could be the dominant factor contributing to the ASM decrease.
“…This devastating drought affected approximately 30 million people throughout Asia with disease and starvation [24]. The other severe drought of the 1920s was detected by almost all climate reconstructions in northern China [23,[25][26][27][28][29][30]. During the period of this drought, summer rainfall of north central China decreased to approximately half of the average amount, resulting in famine for about 4 million people due to low crop yields [23].…”
“…The limiting climatic factor for Picea purpurea was the precipitation from previous August to current July. It was also evident that the precipitation during this season was a limiting factor of tree growth in other regions of China (Li et al, ; Liu et al, ; ; ; Zhang et al, ; ; Tian et al, ; Gao et al, ). According to differences in the climate responses of the STD and RES, the RES chronology had a stronger precipitation signal.…”
A tree‐ring width chronology of Picea purpurea Mast from Mt. Shouyang in the source region of Weihe River (SWR), northwest China, was developed in this study. Correlation analysis showed that the precipitation from previous August to current July was the limiting climate factor of tree growth. Using a reliable and stable linear regression model, which explained 42.6% of the variance of the actual precipitation during the calibration period from 1958 to 2014, a 205‐year long precipitation series was reconstructed for the SWR. The dry years in the reconstruction were well supported by historical documents, and famous historical droughts were also recorded in the dry periods of a low‐frequency scale of the reconstructed precipitation. As demonstrated by the spatial correlation patterns, the reconstructed series compared well with other hydroclimate records for northwest China, indicating that it could represent large‐scale hydroclimate changes. The 2–8‐year interannual cycles and the interdecadal quasiperiods of 15.9 years and 18.6 years revealed that the precipitation in this region was probably affected by the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation and North Atlantic Oscillation. The dry/wet years corresponded well with the El Niño/La Niña events and the SWR commonly experienced droughts during the low periods of North Atlantic Oscillation.
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