Analyzing Peer-to-Peer Lending Secondary Market: What Determines the Successful Trade of a Loan Note?

Byanjankar, Ajay; Mezei, József; Wang, Xiaolu

doi:10.1007/978-3-030-45691-7_44

Cited by 3 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 8 publications

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“…However, it was concluded that the trading volume is too small to meet the arbitrary conditions. Byanjankar et al (2020) proved, with empirical analysis, that the discount rate and number of days in default significantly impact an investor's decision. Reher (2014) highlighted the relation between the implementation of a secondary market and the level of interest rates in the primary market.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Reher (2014) highlighted the relation between the implementation of a secondary market and the level of interest rates in the primary market. According to an empirical study performed by Byanjankar et al (2020), this kind of expansion lowers interest rates and can have a risk impact on the main market. This paper's purpose is to add to the research that examines the secondary market in social lending.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The liquidity aspects of peer-to-peer lending

Ölvedi

2021

SEF

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate investor behavior in the market of peer-to-peer lending, which is an alternative form of finance, from the liquidity perspective. Design/methodology/approach Liquidity metrics and regressions are used to identify the trend of the market and the variables that significantly impact the successful resale, selling time and discount rate in the secondary market. Structural break analysis is used to examine the impact of COVID on the market. Findings There is a high demand for performing loans that are sold quickly; however, the discount rate is also high, which reflects the price of liquidity. Based on the results obtained from regressions, the main factors that impact the investors’ decisions are discount rate, borrower’s country, principal and the month passed after loan origination. Furthermore, it can be concluded that the pandemic has led to a structural break in March 2020, and investors have started to liquidate their claims. Practical implications This paper’s purpose is to add to the research that examines the secondary market in social lending. It also contributes to the understanding of an investor’s decision and behavior, which are key parts of the segment’s long-term sustainability from the demand perspective. The comprehensive understanding of a lender’s behavior is also essential for supervisory authorities and other participants of the financial market. Originality/value Previous studies mostly focused on credit risk aspects, whereas this paper contributes to the modest research of liquidity features. The added value of this paper is further supported by the use of a large European secondary market data set, including more than 5 million transactions, covering an 18-month horizon. Moreover, the market’s sensitivity is analyzed in the case of an external shock. In the beginning of 2020, the COVID outbreak caused an economic shutdown in many European countries. The paper examines how these uncertain economic conditions impact the secondary market.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The liquidity aspects of peer-to-peer lending

Ölvedi

2021

SEF

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…According to an empirical study performed by Byanjankar et al (2020), this kind of expansion lowers interest rates and can have a risk impact on the main market. This paper's purpose is to add to the research that examines the secondary market in social lending.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The new form of financial intermediation: key issues of peer-to-peer lending

Ölvedi

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In the previous years, fintech transformation and innovative technological solutions had a significant impact on the economy. This trend reached the financial market as well. Conventional financial institutions introduced a wide range of online products and services. Besides that, a disintermediation tendency has started, and alternative funding models appeared on the market, performing capital allocation. One of this new form is peer-to-peer lending (P2P) or marketplace lending, where the traditional intermediary role is left out of the process. The main idea of the business model is that the online platforms offer more beneficial conditions for borrowers compared to a bank loan. From investor perspective the expected return is promised to be higher than a bank deposit yield. However, the risk associated with this investment is also significantly higher. After the first platform was launched in 2005, the segment showed a robust expansion and several new players appeared on the market in many different countries. The strong market growth raises several questions regarding the future of financial intermediation, the role of the platforms on the financial market and their interaction with commercial banks. The purpose of this dissertation is to gain a comprehensive understanding regarding the relevance of the peer-to-peer lending platforms and to examine the market specific features. The dissertation is divided into two main sections. The first one is a theoretical overview where peer-to-peer lending is defined and embedded into the literature of financial intermediation. Then the main features of the platforms are presented in comparison with the conventional banking sector. After that, the key research directions, current market statistics and regulatory environment are summarized. In the second part, four separate papers are presented. The first two studies are exploring the market specific features, covering the characteristics of the P2P applicants and the examination of the secondary market. The remaining two papers investigate the relevance of the platforms and their potential role on the financial market. They main results of the theoretical overview and the four papers are the following: • When examining the characteristics of P2P borrowers, data was used from a market leader US platform. The results indicate that the portion of delinquent mortgages in a particular state has the highest impact on the demand for P2P funding, and the most 2 commonly declared loan purpose is debt consolidation, which suggests that borrowers need alternative funding to refinance their overdue mortgage debts. Besides that, the results suggest that the customer group of P2P platforms overlaps with bank customers and P2P platforms supplement bank lending only in a small segment and for most of the cases it substitutes bank funding, especially in the lower end of the score distribution. • According to the analysis of the secondary market dataset from a European platform, the market is relatively liquid, the demand is the highest for performing loans with 0 days past due (DPD). The discount rate on the market is quite high, which suggests that the price of liquidity has to be paid by the seller. Additionally, the market seems to be sensitive to external shock, as investors started to liquidate their claims when the pandemic started in Europe. • Based on a benchmark scoring model that we built on a European P2P dataset; we could not confirm that the platform was able to reduce information asymmetry - due to the usage of alternative information - better than traditional financial intermediaries. The average internal rate of return on closed transactions was -4.17%, and 42% of the loans end with a negative IRR. Investors are not compensated for the credit risk they take. • In case of economic distress, the growth rate of marketplace lending is in line with the economic instability of the country and the demand excessively increases from regions with weak banking system. The investigation covered 61 countries with different level of development, covering various regions.

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