Analysis of the spatiotemporal trends and influencing factors of Hyphantria cunea in China

Abstract

In recent years, the situation of the Hyphantria cunea (Drury) (Lepidoptera: Erebidae), infestation in China has been serious and has a tendency to continue to spread. A comprehensive analysis was carried out to examine the spatial distribution trends and influencing factors of H. cunea. This analysis involved integrating administrative division and boundary data, distribution data of H. cunea, and environmental variables for 2021. GeoDetector and gravity analysis techniques were employed for data processing and interpretation. The results show that H. cunea exhibited high aggregation patterns in 2021 and 2022 concentrated mainly in eastern China. During these years, the focal point of the infestation was in Shandong Province with a spread towards the northeast. Conditions such as high vegetation density in eastern China provided favorable situations for growth and development of H. cunea. In China, the spatial distribution of the moth is primarily influenced by two critical factors: precipitation during the driest month and elevation. These play a pivotal role in determining the spread of the species. Based on these results, suggestions are provided for a multifaceted approach to prevention and control of H. cunea infestation.