Analysis of photovoltaic technology development based on technology life cycle approach

Jamali, Mahdis Yousef; Aslani, Alireza; Moghadam, Babak Farhang; Naaranoja, Marja; Madvar, Mohammad Dehghani

doi:10.1063/1.4952763

Cited by 20 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 15 publications

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“…According to Gao et al [15], the dominant approach for analyzing TLC uses the Scurve to observe patent applications over time, and this kind of analysis helps decisionmakers estimate future development trends and, thus, mitigate risks and increase the probability of success. Studies based on the S-curve can use different approaches, such as conceptual and visual approaches, as demonstrated by the study of photovoltaic technology competitive strategies proposed by Jamali et al [18]; however, this methodology carries significant uncertainty. The use of mathematical (or statistical) modelling has increased and seems to be more promising for predictions when an event will occur and can be combined with expert opinions to predict if an event will occur, as noted by Fye et al According to Gao et al [15], the dominant approach for analyzing TLC uses the S-curve to observe patent applications over time, and this kind of analysis helps decision-makers estimate future development trends and, thus, mitigate risks and increase the probability of success.…”

Section: The Tlc Approach Based On the S-curve Conceptmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The use of mathematical (or statistical) modelling has increased and seems to be more promising for predictions when an event will occur and can be combined with expert opinions to predict if an event will occur, as noted by Fye et al According to Gao et al [15], the dominant approach for analyzing TLC uses the S-curve to observe patent applications over time, and this kind of analysis helps decision-makers estimate future development trends and, thus, mitigate risks and increase the probability of success. Studies based on the S-curve can use different approaches, such as conceptual and visual approaches, as demonstrated by the study of photovoltaic technology competitive strategies proposed by Jamali et al [18]; however, this methodology carries significant uncertainty. The use of mathematical (or statistical) modelling has increased and seems to be more promising for predictions when an event will occur and can be combined with expert opinions to predict if an event will occur, as noted by Fye et al [19].…”

Section: The Tlc Approach Based On the S-curve Conceptmentioning

confidence: 99%

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A Detailed Forecast of the Technologies Based on Lifecycle Analysis of GMAW and CMT Welding Processes

et al. 2021

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In this study, GMAW and CMT welding technologies were evaluated in terms of their technological lifecycles based on their patent datasets together with the S-curve concept, and the joints were evaluated in terms of their welding characteristics. To predict the future trends for both technologies, different models based on the time-series and growth-curve methods were tested. From a process point of view, the results showed better performance and stability for the CMT process based on the heat input to the base material and the frequency of the short circuits. The temperature distribution in the sample revealed that the GMAW process delivers higher values and, consequently, greater heat transfer. Regarding the technological lifecycle, the analyses revealed that the CMT welding process, despite being recent, is already in its mature phase. Moreover, the GMAW welding process is positioned in the growth phase on the S-curve, indicating a possibility of advancement. The main findings indicated that through mathematical modelling, it is possible to predict, in a precise way, the inflection points and the maturity phases of each technology and chart their trends with expert opinions. The new perspectives for analysing maturity levels and welding characteristics presented herein will be essential for a broaden decision-making market process.

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Section: The Tlc Approach Based On the S-curve Conceptmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: The Tlc Approach Based On the S-curve Conceptmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Detailed Forecast of the Technologies Based on Lifecycle Analysis of GMAW and CMT Welding Processes

et al. 2021

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“…Vast of people from marketing managers to decision makers need to know the state of technology and also the prospect of that technology for better decision making. Generally, technology life cycle consists of four stages: emerging, growth, maturity, and saturation …”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Current status and future forecasting of biofuels technology development

et al. 2019

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Summary Over the last few decades, the significant increase in energy demand followed by increasing fossil fuels depletion convinced countries authority to choose renewable energy to satisfy demand. Therefore, global enthusiasm in renewable energy such as bioenergy technology is increased. Is biofuels technology ready to address the global demand for energy? Investigating in technology development can answer. In this paper, the current statuses of biofuel technologies are determined. Regarding patent codes, seven technologies are identified, which are CHP turbines for biofeed, gas turbine for biofeed, biodiesel, grain bioethanol, bio‐pyrolysis, torrefaction of biomass, and cellulosic bioethanol. The results of patent investigating show that the biodiesel technology is in the mature status and its technology trend is going to go downward. The others six technologies are in the growth stage. Analysis of 57 619 patents in biofuel technologies for technology forecasting has been done by technology life cycle. The torrefication of biomass technology has started its growth stages and will become mature in 2061. In this research, the S‐curves of all biofuel groups are plotted and maturity phases are forecasted.

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“…Cost and lifespan of PV module are Indian National Rupees (INR) 55/W p and 25 years, respectively [34]. The cost and lifespan of inverter used in the solar carport or rooftop charging station are INR 6000/kVA and eight years, respectively [35].…”

Section: Techno‐economic Analysis Of Vipv Charging Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

Design and techno‐economic analysis of plug‐in electric vehicle‐integrated solar PV charging system for India

2019

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Electrified transportation technology has matured in different parts of the globe. However, this technology is in an advent stage in the Indian market. Due to this fact, a lot more challenges are being encountered in the development of electrified transportation in India; with the scarcity of viable charging stations posing as a significant bottleneck. In this study, the techno-economic analysis of different solar-based charging schemes that are available in the existing environment and present a modest, economical and reliable method of charging an electric vehicle (EV))(e.g. e-rickshaw) through a solar panel that ultimately enhances the driving range and overall reliability of the system has been done. To validate the performance, the prototype of vehicle-integrated photovoltaic (PV) charging system has been developed and test results are demonstrated. Economic analysis is done based on the yearly average solar irradiance profile in Aligarh, India. Further, this work presents a comparative analysis of CO 2 emission for 100 km driving range from the EVs charge by different charging schemes and internal combustion engine vehicles.

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Analysis of photovoltaic technology development based on technology life cycle approach

Abstract: This paper was selected as an Editor's Pick ARTICLES YOU MAY BE INTERESTED INEnergy, exergy, and cost analyses of a double-glazed solar air heater using phase change material

Cited by 20 publications

References 15 publications

A Detailed Forecast of the Technologies Based on Lifecycle Analysis of GMAW and CMT Welding Processes

A Detailed Forecast of the Technologies Based on Lifecycle Analysis of GMAW and CMT Welding Processes

Current status and future forecasting of biofuels technology development

Design and techno‐economic analysis of plug‐in electric vehicle‐integrated solar PV charging system for India

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