Analysis of Input Influencing Factors When Constructing a Forecast Model for Studying the Process of Movements of the Sayano-Shushenskaya HPS Dam Fulfilled in the Period of 2013-2016

Abstract

The article discusses the features of constructing predictive mathematical models for studying the deformation process of displacements of the crest of the dam of the Sayano-Shushenskaya hydroelectric power station. Studies of the most successfully designed predictive mathematical models for various combinations of influencing factors, including the results of field observations and the calculated values of temperature components of the displacements, were performed. Based on the constructed models, the forecasting of the controlled points of the dam body was carried out for the stages of its operation that were different in time.