Analysis of Indonesian Coffee Export Performance to the Global Market Using Vector Autoregression (Var) Approach

Zuhdi, Fadhlan; Windirah, Nola; Maulanda, Achmad Subchiandi

doi:10.31186/jagrisep.20.2.381-396

Cited by 2 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 10 publications

(11 reference statements)

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…So, this study was conducted to compare the forecasted volume of Indonesian coffee exports and Colombian coffee exports with a long data range, from 2001 to 2021 using ARIMA model. This is done because it is based on (Zuhdi et al, 2021), Indonesian coffee exports in the short term are influenced by Colombian coffee exports. Therefore, Colombian export forecasting will be needed to determine Colombia's potential in the international coffee trade, which disrupts Indonesia's export volume.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forecasting Export Volume of Indonesian and Colombian Coffee in the World Market using ARIMA Model

Zuhdi¹,

Maulana

Rambe

2023

Signifikan

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Colombian coffee exports influence Indonesian coffee exports in the short term, so this study aims to forecast the export volume of Indonesian and Colombian coffee in the future. The study used time-series data from 2001 to 2021, further analyzed using the ARIMA model. Based on the projection, Indonesian coffee export is projected to increase with an average value of 1.14 percent and a potential increase of 1.79 percent. However, this result still needed to reach the desired value since the projected coffee export of Indonesia in 2025 only reached 429 172 tons, or lower than the export quantity of Colombian coffee in 2011. This finding indicated that Indonesian coffee export tended to increase stagnantly and was considered low compared to the increasing export of Colombian coffee.JEL Classification: C22, C53, E37, F17, Q13How to Cite:Zuhdi, F., Maulana A. S., & Rambe, K. R. (2023). Forecasting Export Volume of Indonesian and Colombian Coffee in the World Market using ARIMA Model. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 57-68. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.25456.

show abstract

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forecasting Export Volume of Indonesian and Colombian Coffee in the World Market using ARIMA Model

Zuhdi¹,

Maulana

Rambe

2023

Signifikan

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Coffee (Coffea canephora) is an export commodity with high economic value, and is a leading commodity in Indonesia. The export value of Indonesian coffee in 2022 was 434,190 tons, an increase of 12.92% from the previous year, with a total export value of USD 1.13 billion [1,2,3]. Lampung Province is the producer and exporter of coffee in Indonesia.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Intensity of Leaf Rust Disease on Four Robusta Coffee Clones in Natar, South Lampung

Harmiansyah,

Diptaningsari,

Wardani

et al. 2023

IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Lampung Province is the producer and exporter of coffee in Indonesia. Leaf rust disease is an important disease in coffee and is caused by fungus Hemileia vastatrix Berk & Br. This disease has spread to all coffee cultivation areas worldwide, including Indonesia. The incidence of this disease can cause production losses and reducing productivity up to 50%. The aim of the study was to determine the intensity of leaf rust disease in four Robusta coffee (Coffea canephora) clones in Natar, South Lampung Regency, Lampung Province, namely BP 436, BP 534, BP 939 and SA 203. The experiment was conducted in a completely randomized block design, with four clones, 30 replicates, and 30 evaluation samples. The intensity of disease attacks was calculated using Townsend-Heuberger formula. The results indicated that the intensity of disease attack on four clones was classified as a mild attack, with the lowest attack level was on BP 534 clone (5.63%). Robusta coffee is relatively tolerant to leaf rust disease, however management of this disease must be applied to prevent greater yield losses.

show abstract

Analysis of Indonesian Coffee Export Performance to the Global Market Using Vector Autoregression (Var) Approach

Cited by 2 publications

References 10 publications

Forecasting Export Volume of Indonesian and Colombian Coffee in the World Market using ARIMA Model

Forecasting Export Volume of Indonesian and Colombian Coffee in the World Market using ARIMA Model

Intensity of Leaf Rust Disease on Four Robusta Coffee Clones in Natar, South Lampung

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About