Analysis of Factors in Flight Delay

Xu, Yiyang; Liu, Luyao; Gao, Xichen; Zeng, Fanyu

doi:10.2991/mmsta-19.2019.36

Cited by 1 publication

(1 citation statement)

References 2 publications

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“…It has two major advantages as follows: the ability to generate nonlinear decision with linear classifiers and the ability of the kernel to allow classifiers applied to a no obvious dimensional vector space representation data. In modelling SVM a hyperplane is constructed to form decision boundary creating margin between positive and negative class [30,31].…”

Section: Support Vector Machinementioning

confidence: 99%

A Deep Feedforward Neural Network and Shallow Architectures Effectiveness Comparison: Flight Delays Classification Perspective

Bisandu

Homaid

Moulitsas

et al. 2021

2021 the 5th International Conference on Advances in Artificial Intelligence (ICAAI)

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Flight delays have negatively impacted the socio-economics state of passengers, airlines and airports, resulting in huge economic losses. Hence, it has become necessary to correctly predict their occurrences in the process of decision-making because it is important for the effective management of the aviation industry. Developing accurate flight delays classification models depends mostly on the air transportation system complexity and the infrastructure available in airports, which may be a region-specific issue. However, no specific prediction or classification model can handle the individual characteristics of all airlines and airports at the same time. Hence, the need to further develop and compare predictive models for aviation decision system of the future cannot be over-emphasized. In this research, flight on-time data records from the United State Bureau of Transportation Statistics was employed to evaluate the performances of Deep Feedforward Neural Network, Neural Network, and Support Vector Machine models on a binary classification problem. The research revealed that different accuracies of flight delay classifications were achieved by the models. The Support Vector Machine had the worst average accuracy than Neural Network and Deep Feedforward Neural Network in the initial experiment. The Deep Feedforward Neural Network outperformed Support Vector Machines and Neural Network with best average percentage accuracies. Going further to investigate the Deep Feedforward Neural Network architecture on different parameters against itself suggest that training a Deep Feedforward Neural Network algorithm, regardless of data training size, the classification accuracy peaks. We examine which number of epochs works best in our flight delay classification settings for the Deep Feedforward Neural Network. Our experiment results demonstrate that having many epochs affects the convergence rate of the model unlike when hidden layers are increased, it does not ensure better or higher accuracy in a binary classification of flight delays. Finally, we recommended further studies on the applicability of Deep Feedforward Neural Network in flight delays prediction with specific case studies of either airlines or airports to check the impact on the performance of the model.

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Section: Support Vector Machinementioning

confidence: 99%