Analysis of Complex Natural Processes Activation with Catastrophic Consequences Using Bayesian Belief Network

An Expert Approach to Assessing Technogenic Risk at Enrichment Plants

“…In the scientific work [17], scientists developed a comprehensive risk assessment method based on the theory of disasters, which was used to analyze the risk levels of ten large chemical enterprises. In the articles [18][19][20][21], Bayesian networks are used by scientists to model various situations, study the causal relationships of accident factors and conduct probabilistic analysis, allowing them to predict possible scenarios for the development of complex processes and their catastrophic consequences. Lisanov et al [22] apply probabilistic estimates in analyzing safety at hazardous production facilities and quantifying the risk of accidents.…”