Analysis and prediction of the spatiotemporal characteristics of land-use ecological risk and carbon storage in Wuhan metropolitan area

Peng, Yuling; Cheng, Weiying; Xu, Xuexian; Song, Huifang

doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.111432

Cited by 9 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…As the static ESV is related to the ecosystem structure and function, the ecological environment needed to be improved urgently especially for the Qingshan District since its EEC was close to the critical point of moderate conflict. In conjunction with the related research by [75,76], it is evident that Wuhan currently faces certain ecological risk issues, and there is a long-term trend of increasing ecological risk. This may be closely related to the lack of coordination between ecological and economic development in Wuhan.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 95%

A Quantitative Analysis on the Coordination of Regional Ecological and Economic Development Based on the Ecosystem Service Evaluation

Li,

2024

Land

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The coordination between regional ecological and economic development has become a crucial topic in current environmental and development research due to the establishment of sustainable development goals and the acceleration of urbanization. In this study, an improved eco-economy coordination (EEC) model is proposed to evaluate the coordination of regional ecological and economic development. This study focuses on Wuhan, China, and utilizes socioeconomic and remote sensing data from 2000 to 2015 to measure both static and dynamic ecosystem service values (ESV). ESVs are the direct and indirect benefits produced by ecosystems that support human survival and development. The calculated ESVs are then integrated into the ecological–economic coordination (EEC) evaluation. This study aims to conduct a comparative analysis of the ecological-economic coordination across various districts of Wuhan, with a focus on spatiotemporal factors. In addition, this paper highlights the role of environmental adjustment coefficients in enhancing the EEC assessment. The results show that (1) the total static ESV experienced a loss of RMB 1.2 billion (approximately USD 169 million) and showed a decreasing trend, while the dynamically corrected ESV reversed this trend; and (2) EEC based on static ESV showed a low degree of conflict between ecological and economic reconciliation compared with a significant increase in EEC based on dynamic ESV. Based on static ESV, the EEC showed a low degree of conflict between ecological and economic reconciliation compared to a significant increase in EEC based on dynamic ESV. After being corrected by environmental adjustment coefficients, the EEC values showed a more differentiated distribution. Most regions demonstrated an overall upward trend in EEC, with a few, such as Wuchang District and Jiang’an District, being notable examples. However, Jianghan District presented a high conflict status. Finally, a series of decision-making suggestions are given based on relevant study results, and an important policy implication is that the coordination of economic growth and ecological protection, under large downward pressure from EEC values, needs to be paid special attention in policy decision-making.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 95%

A Quantitative Analysis on the Coordination of Regional Ecological and Economic Development Based on the Ecosystem Service Evaluation

Li,

2024

Land

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“…Numerous studies discussing the connection between land use/land cover and carbon stocks, as well as improving the ability of terrestrial ecosystems to sequester carbon, have been conducted in recent years [14][15][16]. the integrated valuation of ecosystem services and trade-offs (InVEST) model has been utilized in the majority of studies that assess carbon stocks.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Spatial–Temporal Pattern Analysis and Development Forecasting of Carbon Stock Based on Land Use Change Simulation: A Case Study of the Xiamen–Zhangzhou–Quanzhou Urban Agglomeration, China

Zeng,

Liu,

Tian

et al. 2024

Land

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The spatial–temporal distribution and evolution characteristics of carbon stock under the influence of land use changes are crucial to the scientific management of environmental resources and the optimization of land spatial layout. Taking the Xiamen–Zhangzhou–Quanzhou urban agglomeration in the southeastern coastal region of China as an example, based on seven land use types from 1990 to 2020, including cultivated land, woodland, and construction land, we quantitatively investigate the spatial–temporal patterns of carbon stock development and the spatial correlation of carbon stock distribution. Additionally, two scenarios for the development of urban and ecological priorities in 2060 are established to investigate the effects of land use changes on carbon stock. The results indicate that (1) the research area has formed a land use spatial pattern centered around urban construction in the eastern bay area, with the western forest area and coastal forest belt serving as ecological barriers. Carbon stock is influenced by land use type, and the distribution of total carbon stock exhibits a spatial aggregation phenomenon characterized by “low in the southeast, high in the north, and medium in the center”. (2) Distance of trunk and secondary roads, elevation, slope, watershed borders, population size, and gross domestic product (GDP) factors are the main drivers of the growth of land use types. The primary causes of the reduction in carbon stock are the widespread conversion of cultivated land, woodland, and grassland into construction land, as well as water and unused land. (3) In 2060, there will be a decrease of 41,712,443.35 Mg in the urban priority development scenario compared to 2020, and a decrease of 29,577,580.48 Mg in the ecological priority development scenario. The estimated carbon stock under the two scenarios varies by 12,134,862.88 Mg. The average carbon storage of Zhangpu County, Quangang County, and Jimei County is expected to rise by one level under the ecological protection scenario, indicating that the vast forest area can become a potential area to maintain carbon stock. It is crucial to encourage the coordinated development of peri-urban agroforestry and ecological barriers, as well as to establish a harmonious spatial pattern of land use and carbon stock at the scale of urban agglomerations.

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Landscape ecological risks assessment of the China-Vietnam border area: the perspective of production-living-ecological spaces

Huang,

Wang,

Luo

et al. 2024

Reg Environ Change

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Analysis and prediction of the spatiotemporal characteristics of land-use ecological risk and carbon storage in Wuhan metropolitan area

Cited by 9 publications

References 33 publications

A Quantitative Analysis on the Coordination of Regional Ecological and Economic Development Based on the Ecosystem Service Evaluation

A Quantitative Analysis on the Coordination of Regional Ecological and Economic Development Based on the Ecosystem Service Evaluation

Spatial–Temporal Pattern Analysis and Development Forecasting of Carbon Stock Based on Land Use Change Simulation: A Case Study of the Xiamen–Zhangzhou–Quanzhou Urban Agglomeration, China

Landscape ecological risks assessment of the China-Vietnam border area: the perspective of production-living-ecological spaces

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