An Overview of Mitigation and Adaptation Needs and Strategies for the Livestock Sector

Zhang, Yuquan W.; McCarl, Bruce A.; Jones, Jamie N.

doi:10.3390/cli5040095

Cited by 29 publications

(26 citation statements)

References 45 publications

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“…Additionally, we have focused on the effects of climate change on crops, but applying impacts to livestock agriculture in GCAM and examining the effects of those impacts would be interesting. There is evidence [33] that the integration of livestock impacts may lead to more complex results, as different effects offset or feedback on each other. Similarly, the same framework for analysis could be applied to scenarios with different energy or agricultural policies or different RCPs.…”

Section: Plos Onementioning

confidence: 99%

The domestic and international implications of future climate for U.S. agriculture in GCAM

et al. 2020

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Agricultural crop yields are susceptible to changes in future temperature, precipitation, and other Earth system factors. Future changes to these physical Earth system attributes and their effects on agricultural crop yields are highly uncertain. United States agricultural producers will be affected by such changes whether they occur domestically or internationally through international commodity markets. Here we present a replication study of previous investigations (with different models) showing that potential direct domestic climate effects on crop yields in the U.S. have financial consequences for U.S. producers on the same order of magnitude but opposite in sign to indirect financial impacts on U.S. producers from climate effects on crop yields elsewhere in the world. We conclude that the analysis of country-specific financial climate impacts cannot ignore indirect effects arising through international markets. We find our results to be robust across a wide range of potential future crop yield impacts analyzed in the multi-sector dynamic global model GCAM. 1 Introduction Research is increasingly showing that agricultural crop yields will be susceptible to future changes in temperature, precipitation, length of growing seasons, and carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations [1-9]. While future climate is uncertain, the potential for important effects on major agricultural crop producers such as the U.S. is clear [4, 8, 10-14]. The quantity and composition of U.S. agricultural crop production, where crops are grown, trade, and economic value of U.S. crop production could be affected. An important challenge in understanding these implications is that agricultural products are traded across the globe. The U.S. is both a major agricultural importer and exporter of agricultural crops, meaning that U.S. agriculture may be affected not only by future climate in the U.S., but also future climate outside of the U.S. via international trade. These international linkages raise questions about the relative importance of the direct and indirect effects on U.S. agriculture; that is, is the potential for changes in temperature and precipitation in the U.S. (referred to here as domestic effects) more or less important than the potential for changes outside of the U.S. (referred to here as international effects) to U.S. agricultural crop producers?

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Section: Plos Onementioning

confidence: 99%

The domestic and international implications of future climate for U.S. agriculture in GCAM

et al. 2020

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“…Using both a small farm and large farm scenario allows for the true distribution of all farm sizes to fall somewhere in between the two scenarios. It is well known that the mitigation potential varies around the globe depending on production volume and emission intensities [46]. High production areas, usually in industrialized countries, have a high mitigation potential and can begin to reduce emissions from the largest sources of emissions; feed production, manure, and enteric fermentation [47].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The role of non-CO₂ mitigation options within the dairy industry for pursuing climate change targets

Rolph¹,

Forest²,

Ruark³

2019

Environ. Res. Lett.

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Mitigation of non-CO 2 climate forcing agents must complement the mitigation of CO 2 to achieve longterm temperature and climate policy goals. A large share of global non-CO 2 greenhouse gas emissions is attributed to agriculture, with a significant contribution related to dairy production. As demonstrated by the results of a recent USDA coordinated project, Dairy-CAP, dairy farmers can significantly reduce their greenhouse gas emissions by implementing beneficial management practices (BMPs). This study assesses the potential mitigation of projected climate change if greenhouse gases associated with the dairy subsector were reduced. To compare the performance of several mitigation measures under future climate change, we employ a fully coupled Earth system model of intermediate complexity, the MIT Earth System Model. With an interactive carbon-cycle, the model is capable of addressing important feedbacks between the climate and terrestrial biosphere impacting greenhouse gas concentrations. We illustrate the importance of ongoing mitigation efforts in the agricultural sector to reduce non-CO 2 greenhouse gas emissions towards established climate goals. If BMPs are implemented globally within the next three decades, projected warming by the end of the century can be reduced by 0.21°C on average or 6% of total warming, with dairy farm mitigation contributing to 0.03°C of the temperature reduction.

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“…Diversifying livestock species [113][114][115] Altered plant biodiversity and productivity [116][117][118] Crop land shift to grazing [19,41,119] Increased root production in upper soil levels and carbon sequestration [120,121] 2. Increased temperature Heat-tolerant animal breeds [103] Dilution of disease prevalence [103,122,123]…”

Section: Increased Temperature and Droughtmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Land vegetative change and habitat fragmentation [128,129] Reduction in pollinators and pollination [100,[130][131][132] 5. Increased temperature Reduced animal body size [133] Altered diets and rangeland economic productivity such as stocking rates [41,114,134] 6. Increased drought Shift in vegetation productivity and water retention [135,136] Altered water supply and increased demand for irrigation [137,138] 7.…”

Section: Shifts In Temperature and Rainfall Patternsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrating Agriculture and Ecosystems to Find Suitable Adaptations to Climate Change

Thayer

Vargas

Castellanos

et al. 2020

Climate

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Climate change is altering agricultural production and ecosystems around the world. Future projections indicate that additional change is expected in the coming decades, forcing individuals and communities to respond and adapt. Current research efforts typically examine climate change effects and possible adaptations but fail to integrate agriculture and ecosystems. This failure to jointly consider these systems and associated externalities may underestimate climate change impacts or cause adaptation implementation surprises, such as causing adaptation status of some groups or ecosystems to be worsened. This work describes and motivates reasons why ecosystems and agriculture adaptation require an integrated analytical approach. Synthesis of current literature and examples from Texas are used to explain concepts and current challenges. Texas is chosen because of its high agricultural output that is produced in close interrelationship with the surrounding semi-arid ecosystem. We conclude that future effect and adaptation analyses would be wise to jointly consider ecosystems and agriculture. Existing paradigms and useful methodology can be transplanted from the sustainable agriculture and ecosystem service literature to explore alternatives for climate adaptation and incentivization of private agriculturalists and consumers. Researchers are encouraged to adopt integrated modeling as a means to avoid implementation challenges and surprises when formulating and implementing adaptation.

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An Overview of Mitigation and Adaptation Needs and Strategies for the Livestock Sector

Cited by 29 publications

References 45 publications

The domestic and international implications of future climate for U.S. agriculture in GCAM

The domestic and international implications of future climate for U.S. agriculture in GCAM

The role of non-CO₂ mitigation options within the dairy industry for pursuing climate change targets

Integrating Agriculture and Ecosystems to Find Suitable Adaptations to Climate Change

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An Overview of Mitigation and Adaptation Needs and Strategies for the Livestock Sector

Cited by 29 publications

References 45 publications

The domestic and international implications of future climate for U.S. agriculture in GCAM

The domestic and international implications of future climate for U.S. agriculture in GCAM

The role of non-CO2 mitigation options within the dairy industry for pursuing climate change targets

Integrating Agriculture and Ecosystems to Find Suitable Adaptations to Climate Change

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About

The role of non-CO₂ mitigation options within the dairy industry for pursuing climate change targets