An introduction to the IBMR, a hydro-economic model for climate change impact assessment in Pakistan’s Indus River basin

Yang, Ethan; Brown, Casey; Yu, Winston; Savitsky, Andre

doi:10.1080/02508060.2013.830691

Cited by 41 publications

(25 citation statements)

References 13 publications

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“…Reference [45] estimated the impact of these changes on the farming sector and concluded that climate variability could have a negative impact on food productivity and could cause food insecurity. In their research, the authors of Reference [46] used the revised Indus Basin Model (IBMR) to check the impact of climate change on water availability and food security in Pakistan and found out that Sindh is more vulnerable to climate variabilities than other provinces. The influence of CC on rice yield in light of several carbon dioxide emission scenarios was assessed by Reference [40].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Current and Future Production Systems in Punjab, Pakistan

et al. 2019

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Mankind is in peril and there are many reasons for this; however, climate change precedes all other reasons. Problems of poor farming communities are augmented due to the menace of climate change. This study endeavors to determine the effect on farming communities of both climate change and a situation without climate change. To carry out the study, three different districts were selected (Rawalpindi, Chakwal, and Layyah). Impact of the climate vagaries on per capita income, farm returns, and poverty of the respondents was taken into consideration. To achieve pathways analysis, regional representative agricultural pathways were used. The decision support system for agrotechnology transfer (DSSAT) crop growth model was employed for wheat-related simulations. The tradeoff analysis model for multidimensional impact assessment (TOA-MD) model was used for economic analysis. The results lend credence to the aforementioned nuisance of climate change, as the findings which came through were negatively affecting farm returns, per capita income, and poverty of the farmers. The negative impact applies to both current and future production systems. Farmers are up against the wall because of climate change and they will have to adopt new innovations to raise their productivity.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Current and Future Production Systems in Punjab, Pakistan

et al. 2019

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“…Xie et al (2013) assess the frequency of drought occurrence in Pakistan; Yang et al (2013) examine the climate sensitivity of Pakistan's rivers and agriculture sector; and Zhu et al (2013) assess alternative water-and agriculture-based climate change adaptation strategies for the country. Xie et al (2013) find that when large droughts occur in Pakistan, they affect all key agricultural areas.…”

Section: Contributions Of This Special Issuementioning

confidence: 99%

Water for food security: challenges for Pakistan

Ringler

Anwar²

2013

Water International

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“…A large number of system models have been built for some of these basins such as Cai et al (2002) and Teasley and McKinney (2011) for Syr Darya; Jalilov et al (2013) for Amu Darya and Yu et al (2013) and Yang et al (2013) for Indus. The Ganges and the Brahmaputra have relatively fewer previous system modeling studies.…”

Section: System Modelingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change Risk on the Water Resources Management of Himalayan Basins

Yang

Ray

et al. 2014

World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2014

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The latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) projection from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) shows very large uncertainty in climatechange-related risk in the Himalaya region. Inability to plan increases the challenge of water resources management for large river basins, especially in Central and South Asia. This uncertainty is largely attributable to GCMs' poor representation of the snow/glacier melting mechanism and monsoon precipitation prediction. The river basins of the Himalaya region include (from east to west): the Aral Sea basins (Syr Darya and Amu Darya), the Indus Basin, the Ganges Basin and the Brahmaputra Basin. The total population in these basins is about 1.8 billion and is projected to increase faster than other world regions. The increasing population and complex political/socioeconomic conditions make this region even more vulnerable to climate change risks. This study provides a comprehensive summary of the climate change risks in this region and covers topics from climatology and hydrology (natural-system perspective) to water resources system and socioeconomic impacts (anthropocentric perspective). It is expected that this comprehensive knowledge platform will provide guidance for future water-resources-related studies in sub-areas as diverse as energy and food security, infrastructure development, flood and drought management, planning for extreme events, and transboundary water sharing.

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An introduction to the IBMR, a hydro-economic model for climate change impact assessment in Pakistan’s Indus River basin

Cited by 41 publications

References 13 publications

Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Current and Future Production Systems in Punjab, Pakistan

Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Current and Future Production Systems in Punjab, Pakistan

Water for food security: challenges for Pakistan

Climate Change Risk on the Water Resources Management of Himalayan Basins

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