Abstract:This paper focuses on designing a state estimator for a discrete-time SEIR epidemic model of an influenzalike illness. It is assumed that only sets of admissible values are known for the model's disturbances, uncertainties and parameters, except for the time-varying transmission rate from the "susceptible" to the "exposed" stage, whose bounding values are unavailable. An interval observer is designed to estimate the set of possible values of the state, and a sufficient condition guaranteeing the asymptotic sta… Show more
“…Considering that the measured data and parameters contain numerous uncertainties, it is difficult to make a reasonable prediction based on the SEIR model with fixed values of parameters. Thus, an interval approach has already been applied to SEIR models in [49] and [50] .…”
Section: Illustrative Examplementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The literature [47] , [48] , [49] , [50] was concerned with the modeling, the parameter identification of models, and the state estimation. These literature can provide some available modeling of SEIR and present some effective predict for the trend of epidemics.…”
Section: Illustrative Examplementioning
confidence: 99%
“…It should be pointed out that the parameters in the considered system are not from a real case in some zone. In practice, one can utilize the methods in [47] , [48] , [49] , [50] to identify parameters by virtue of some real data. Then, the approach in this section can be used to contain epidemics.…”
This paper proposes a new distributed model predictive control (DMPC) for positive Markov jump systems subject to uncertainties and constraints. The uncertainties refer to interval and polytopic types, and the constraints are described in the form of 1-norm inequalities. A linear DMPC framework containing a linear performance index, linear robust stability conditions, a stochastic linear co-positive Lyapunov function, a cone invariant set, and a linear programming based DMPC algorithm is introduced. A global positive Markov jump system is decomposed into several subsystems. These subsystems can exchange information with each other and each subsystem has its own controller. Using a matrix decomposition technique, the DMPC controller gain matrix is divided into nonnegative and non-positive components and thus the corresponding stochastic stability conditions are transformed into linear programming. By virtue of a stochastic linear co-positive Lyapunov function, the positivity and stochastic stability of the systems are achieved under the DMPC controller. A lower computation burden DMPC algorithm is presented for solving the min-max optimization problem of performance index. The proposed DMPC design approach is extended for general systems. Finally, an example is given to verify the effectiveness of the DMPC design.
“…Considering that the measured data and parameters contain numerous uncertainties, it is difficult to make a reasonable prediction based on the SEIR model with fixed values of parameters. Thus, an interval approach has already been applied to SEIR models in [49] and [50] .…”
Section: Illustrative Examplementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The literature [47] , [48] , [49] , [50] was concerned with the modeling, the parameter identification of models, and the state estimation. These literature can provide some available modeling of SEIR and present some effective predict for the trend of epidemics.…”
Section: Illustrative Examplementioning
confidence: 99%
“…It should be pointed out that the parameters in the considered system are not from a real case in some zone. In practice, one can utilize the methods in [47] , [48] , [49] , [50] to identify parameters by virtue of some real data. Then, the approach in this section can be used to contain epidemics.…”
This paper proposes a new distributed model predictive control (DMPC) for positive Markov jump systems subject to uncertainties and constraints. The uncertainties refer to interval and polytopic types, and the constraints are described in the form of 1-norm inequalities. A linear DMPC framework containing a linear performance index, linear robust stability conditions, a stochastic linear co-positive Lyapunov function, a cone invariant set, and a linear programming based DMPC algorithm is introduced. A global positive Markov jump system is decomposed into several subsystems. These subsystems can exchange information with each other and each subsystem has its own controller. Using a matrix decomposition technique, the DMPC controller gain matrix is divided into nonnegative and non-positive components and thus the corresponding stochastic stability conditions are transformed into linear programming. By virtue of a stochastic linear co-positive Lyapunov function, the positivity and stochastic stability of the systems are achieved under the DMPC controller. A lower computation burden DMPC algorithm is presented for solving the min-max optimization problem of performance index. The proposed DMPC design approach is extended for general systems. Finally, an example is given to verify the effectiveness of the DMPC design.
“…Several approaches to design interval/set-membership estimators have been proposed [9,10,11,12,13,14]. This work is devoted to a subclass of set-membership estimators, the so-called interval observers, whose design is based on the monotone systems theory [15,12,16,17,18,19,20,21,22]. In contrast to [5], since the estimated variables take positive values, the obtained estimates provided by our observer take positive values only, which poses an additional constraint to satisfy in this rather complex estimation problem.…”
A child dies from malaria every two minutes worldwide, according to the World Health Organization. When prescribing antimalarial drugs, a challenging problem for physicians consists in estimating sequestered parasites Plasmodium falciparum populations from noisy measurements of circulating parasite concentrations, while handling uncertainty. In this article, we design an interval state estimator for uncertain models of malaria patients. We consider the ubiquitous case in which only intervals of admissible values are available for all parameters in the model except for infection rates, whose bounding values are unavailable. Furthermore we compute optimal gains for the interval observer by using linear programming to minimize the estimated interval width. We test the observer's efficiency in simulation for a model and for real measured data collected by the
“…Also, an important computational work has been implemented to illustrate the validity of the obtained results. On the other hand, the design of the stabilizing controllers have been recently invoked and developed with a well-worked mathematical rigor in [36,37], respectively. Finally, a study of the nonlinear phenomena of bifurcation and chaos has been detailed in [38] for a discrete SI epidemic model with fractional order while [39] gives a relevance of the fractional framework to the statement of fractional-type discrete epidemic models especially through the list of commented listed "ad hoc" references.…”
A new discrete SEIADR epidemic model is built based on previous continuous models. The model considers two extra subpopulation, namely, asymptomatic and lying corpses on the usual SEIR models. It can be of potential interest for diseases where infected corpses are infectious like, for instance, Ebola. The model includes two types of vaccinations, a constant one and another proportional to the susceptible subpopulation, as well as a treatment control applied to the infected subpopulation. We study the positivity of the controlled model and the stability of the equilibrium points. Simulations are made in order to provide allocation and examples to the different possible conditions. The equilibrium point with no infection and its stability is related, via the reproduction number values, to the reachability of the endemic equilibrium point.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.