An Integrated Long Term Energy Forecasting Approach for Sustainable Energy Mix in Pakistan

Rafique, M. Mujahid; Shakir, Muhammad Ali; Zahid, Imran; Chohan, Ghulam Yasin

doi:10.1109/pgsret.2018.8686025

Cited by 4 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 4 publications

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“…Energy policies and energy management practices have also been the subject of interest in Pakistan [6][7][8][37][38][39][40][41][42][43][44][45][46]. Mirjat et al [37] argued that government policies since independence varied over time and had been less integrated without the use of energy modeling tools e.g., LEAP, MARKAL/TIMES, etc.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Latif et al [38] used the MARKAL approach from 2014 to 2035 for renewable and non-renewable energy scenarios, and showed that for Pakistan renewable sources are the best option in reducing energy-related risks and fossil fuel import bills, and at the same time enhances economic and environmental sustainability. In studies by Rafique et al [39,40], the need and prospects of new sources, such as renewable energy have been emphasized to have a sustainable power development and its implementation in the country. Solangi et al [41] compare various renewable resources: solar, wind, hydro, geothermal, and biomass with regard to environmental, technical, economic, and socio-political aspects by using an integrated Delphi (analytical hierarchy process) and Fuzzy (a technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Drivers and Barriers for Efficient Energy Management Practices in Energy-Intensive Industries: A Case-Study of Iron and Steel Sector

et al. 2020

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The two major reasons behind the world’s energy crisis are losses in energy transmission and less efficient energy use at sinks. The former flaw can be catered by changing the entire energy transmission system which requires investment and planning on a large scale, whereas the later deficiency can be overcome through proper management of energy utilizing systems. Energy-intensive industries have a substantial share in energy consumption and equally high energy saving potentials if they adopt some integrated and improved energy efficiency. This study investigates the energy management systems in the iron and steel sector of Pakistan, and compare it with findings of similar work in Sweden, Bangladesh, and Ghana. A systematic questionnaire was circulated in the iron and steel sector across the country and afterward the collected data was analyzed to find major barriers and drivers for efficient energy management practices. In addition, questions on non-energy benefits and information sources relevant to the energy efficiency were also part of the questionnaire. Cost reduction resulting from lowered energy use was rated as the most important driver for applying energy-efficient operation. On the other hand, the cost of production disruption was considered among high-level barriers to the implementation of improved energy efficiency. An increase in the life-time of equipment was labeled as the top non-energy benefits. Company peers and seminars/conferences were referred as the best information sources related to energy efficiency. The outcome of the study will be helpful to the decision-maker in the industry, as well as the government levels.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Drivers and Barriers for Efficient Energy Management Practices in Energy-Intensive Industries: A Case-Study of Iron and Steel Sector

et al. 2020

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“…To solve the challenges, in [24], regression analysis and survival analysis were applied to a long-term retail energy forecasting problem. In a recent study, the Long-Range Energy Alternative Planning system (LEAP) was used to forecast the future energy demand and available energy mix in Pakistan [25]. The LEAP is a scenario-based energy environment modeling tool.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forecasting the Hydrogen Demand in China: A System Dynamics Approach

Huang

2022

Mathematics

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Many countries, including China, have implemented supporting policies to promote the commercialized application of green hydrogen and hydrogen fuel cells. In this study, a system dynamics (SD) model is proposed to study the evolution of hydrogen demand in China from the petroleum refining industry, the synthetic ammonia industry, and the vehicle market. In the model, the impact from the macro-environment, hydrogen fuel supply, and construction of hydrogen facilities is considered to combine in incentives for supporting policies. To further formulate the competitive relationship in the vehicle market, the Lotka–Volterra (LV) approach is adopted. The model is verified using published data from 2003 to 2017. The model is also used to forecast China’s hydrogen demand up to the year of 2030 under three different scenarios. Finally, some forward-looking guidance is provided to policy makers according to the forecasting results.

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Assessment of solar energy potential and its deployment for cleaner production in Pakistan

2020

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An Integrated Long Term Energy Forecasting Approach for Sustainable Energy Mix in Pakistan

Cited by 4 publications

References 4 publications

Drivers and Barriers for Efficient Energy Management Practices in Energy-Intensive Industries: A Case-Study of Iron and Steel Sector

Drivers and Barriers for Efficient Energy Management Practices in Energy-Intensive Industries: A Case-Study of Iron and Steel Sector

Forecasting the Hydrogen Demand in China: A System Dynamics Approach

Assessment of solar energy potential and its deployment for cleaner production in Pakistan

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