The concept of evidence-based decision making is now being applied by local government and regulators in the consenting and restoration of surface coal mines in the UK. The objective of this paper is to discuss some of the implications for the minerals industry by using, as an example, a recent application to extend a mine in South Wales. Over the past 10 years there has been a fundamental change in the approach to strategic planning and control of development in the United Kingdom. Both have become evidence-based, meaning that a proposal should be based on and supported by researched facts, which are open to objective scrutiny. Government and local authorities have not only adopted this approach, but in several cases have reorganised and renamed functional departments to reinforce the stance. The demand for evidence of the certainty of delivery of restoration schemes is a recent manifestation. Whereas, even as recent as 2-3 years ago, the detailing of restoration would be left as a reserve planning matter and finalised during the mining operation. This seems to be no longer some authorities' approach (as detailed evidence is required before approval of planning consent is granted). This may include a range of ecosystem service matters such as: land-use and habitat extent, types, character and ecosystem service function; establishment and management details during the statutory aftercare period; milestones and timescales for achievement, and its monitoring with target indicators. While this might be expected of modern mining operations, planning authorities in implementing their evidence-based agenda are taking it further to question the certainty of delivery (by demanding evidence it can be done), a measure of the certainty and detailing of fall-back measures and outcomes. A measure of success, Areal Value Index, is suggested whereby an objective assessment and judgement of certainty of delivery might be made. Given that an evidence-based approach is now likely to be widely adopted, the industry should expect to be challenged and needs to prepare its evidence well in advance of the submission of future mining schemes.