An Evaluation System for National Park Selection in Taiwan

Kuo, Nae Wen; Yu, Yue Hwa

doi:10.1080/09640569910975

Cited by 18 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 11 publications

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“…The Delphi method is praised as a rapid and relatively efficient means of gathering expert opinion (Kuo and Yu, 1999;Mendoza and Prabhu, 2000), taking much less time and effort for participants in lieu of attending conferences and preparing research papers. It is a useful process for problems where more individuals are needed than can fit in a committee format; when time and cost are prohibitive of further research, meetings or conferences; or when disagreements are so severe that anonymity must be ensured (Linstone and Turoff, 1975).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…One long standing criticism of the technique is the lack of a standardized process, and therefore generalizability, due mostly to the variety of problem types to which it has been applied (Linstone and Turoff, 1975;Sackman, 1975). For example, Delphi problem solving has been applied to natural resource issues such as forest biodiversity (Kangas et al, 1998) and sustainability (Mendoza and Prabhu, 2000), heritage tourism (Garrod and Fyall, 2000), environmental disputes (Miller and Cuff, 1986) and forecasting (Ying and Kung, 2000), National Park selection in Taiwan (Kuo and Yu, 1999) and aquatic habitat selection in Lake Ontario (Bush and Lary, 1996). Generalizability, however, is only an issue for applications such as forecasting, and not usually a serious deterrent (Rowe et al, 1991;Ono, 1994).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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USE OF THE DELPHI METHOD IN RESOLVING COMPLEX WATER RESOURCES ISSUES¹

Taylor¹,

Ryder

2003

J American Water Resour Assoc

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The tri‐state river basins, shared by Georgia, Alabama, and Florida, are being modeled by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers to help facilitate agreement in an acrimonious water dispute among these different state governments. Modeling of such basin reservoir operations requires parallel understanding of several river system components: hydropower production, flood control, municipal and industrial water use, navigation, and reservoir fisheries requirements. The Delphi method, using repetitive surveying of experts, was applied to determine fisheries' water and lake‐level requirements on 25 reservoirs in these interstate basins. The Delphi technique allowed the needs and requirements of fish populations to be brought into the modeling effort on equal footing with other water supply and demand components. When the subject matter is concisely defined and limited, this technique can rapidly assess expert opinion on any natural resource issue, and even move expert opinion toward greater agreement.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

USE OF THE DELPHI METHOD IN RESOLVING COMPLEX WATER RESOURCES ISSUES¹

Taylor¹,

Ryder

2003

J American Water Resour Assoc

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“…Two experts reviewed the group results after a reminding phone call and stated their agreement with consensus. The similar one-round method is exercised in environmental planning (Kuo & Yu, 1999) and other civil engineering researches (Hartman & Baldwin, 1995).…”

Section: Lowmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Economic Relevance of on-Site Construction Activities With the External Thermal Insulation Composite System (Etics)

Sulakatko

Lill

2019

International Journal of Strategic Property Management

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The systematic inadequacies of the External Thermal Insulation Composite System (ETICS), which occur during the construction phase, increase the financial risk for stakeholders, while reducing the long-term durability of the facade. The economic effect of on-site shortcomings can be reduced if the most significant on-site activities are recognised. The current paper develops an economic relevance assessment model for on-site construction activities of ETICS to increase economic rationality of resource allocation and emphasise the high-risk systematic shortcomings. The economic assessment model quantifies the financial risk of the on-site degradation factors with the method of modified Failure Mode Effects Analysis (FMEA). The data collection is followed by experts’ judgments and is validated with the Delphi technique. The study reveals that degradation factors in the early phases of construction have the highest relevance due to high costs of repair as well as high occurrence possibility and higher detection difficulty due to rapid coverage. Ninety percent of the shortcomings appear during the first five years of completion of the construction. The on-site failures occurring during the application of mechanical anchors and finishing layer cause the lowest financial risk. The model enables the economic effect of the on-site activities to be prioritised for better resource allocation.

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“…the ecological criteria to assess in ranking environmental sites, and selection of members for expert panels are high among them. With regard to the former criticism, we follow Kuo and Yu (1999) by ensuring that the ecological criteria introduced in our questionnaire were well known in previous research on natural reserves and national parks and the ecological literature 21 . We predicted that this would limit both the need to provide definitions and any potential misunderstanding between the monitoring team and the expert panel.…”

Section: The Delphi Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For example, one reason for such a divergence can be attributed simply to different preference structures between the two groups. In addition, Kuitinen and Törmälä (1994) and Kuo and Yu (1999) have empirically demonstrated that experts and uninformed lay-people focus on different attributes when evaluating the same environmental good. It is therefore likely that the ranking of ecological sites and/or environmental goods would produce a different order from the two sets of respondents.…”

Section: < βmentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental resource information and the validity of non-use values: the case of remote mountain lakes

Groom¹,

Kontoleon²,

Swanson³

2005

Econometrics Informing Natural Resources Management

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The NOAA guidelines for the implementation of stated preference techniques for economic valuation of environmental resources (Arrow et al 1993) suggest that the outcomes of stated preference techniques should be compared to the opinions and rankings of experts as a test of their validity. Theoretical and empirical studies have indicated that the reliability of stated preference responses may be called into question when the level of information or knowledgeability that respondents bring to the survey is low, where there is a low level of familiarity with the good being valued, or the 'relevance' of the good to the individual is in question (Ajzen 1996, Mas-Colell et al 1995, Bergstrom et al 1986). In such cases the value of expert opinion as a validation of stated preference techniques may be amplified. Despite this only a few studies have addressed the reasoning behind the use of expert opinion in this way or have compared the preferences of experts and members of the public over the same goods (Boyle 1996, Kenyon and Edwards-Jones, 1998). To our knowledge no comparison has been made between the preference orderings of experts and members of the public for goods with a large non-use value component, the very class of resource values where the aforementioned problems are most likely to arise. This study endeavours to address the NOAA recommendation through the comparison of the outcomes of a Delphi experiment (consultation/consensus of experts) and a CVM survey, both of which address decisions concerning the same environmental resource. The comparison is broadened by the use of different levels of information for subsets of respondents to assess the informational effects, and hence different levels of knowledgeability on willingness to pay bids. This is undertaken for an environmental good for which non-use values are the predominant class of economic values, and for which public familiarity is low, i.e. Remote Mountain Lakes.

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An Evaluation System for National Park Selection in Taiwan

Cited by 18 publications

References 11 publications

USE OF THE DELPHI METHOD IN RESOLVING COMPLEX WATER RESOURCES ISSUES¹

USE OF THE DELPHI METHOD IN RESOLVING COMPLEX WATER RESOURCES ISSUES¹

The Economic Relevance of on-Site Construction Activities With the External Thermal Insulation Composite System (Etics)

Environmental resource information and the validity of non-use values: the case of remote mountain lakes

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An Evaluation System for National Park Selection in Taiwan

Cited by 18 publications

References 11 publications

USE OF THE DELPHI METHOD IN RESOLVING COMPLEX WATER RESOURCES ISSUES1

USE OF THE DELPHI METHOD IN RESOLVING COMPLEX WATER RESOURCES ISSUES1

The Economic Relevance of on-Site Construction Activities With the External Thermal Insulation Composite System (Etics)

Environmental resource information and the validity of non-use values: the case of remote mountain lakes

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About

USE OF THE DELPHI METHOD IN RESOLVING COMPLEX WATER RESOURCES ISSUES¹

USE OF THE DELPHI METHOD IN RESOLVING COMPLEX WATER RESOURCES ISSUES¹