An Estimation of Recovery Curve of Maritime Containerized Cargo Demand After Large-Scale Earthquake and Tsunami

Akakura, Yasuhiro; Hemmi, Mitsuru; Ono, Kenji; Ishihara, Masatoyo; Fukumoto, Masatake

doi:10.2208/jscejipm.70.i_689

Cited by 2 publications

(3 citation statements)

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“…The authors had formulated the recovery curves of the container cargo demand in the aftermath of large-scale earthquakes and tsunamis 10) . These recovery curves were formulated based on the questionnaire survey with disaster-stricken establishments as to the operating ratio and the relation between the operating ratios and the transport demands.…”

Section: (2) Estimation Of Container Cargo Demandmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estimation Method for Port Cargo Demands After Large-Scale Earthquakes and Tsunamis

Akakura

Ono

2017

Journal of JSCE

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Section: (2) Estimation Of Container Cargo Demandmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estimation Method for Port Cargo Demands After Large-Scale Earthquakes and Tsunamis

Akakura

Ono

2017

Journal of JSCE

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“…However, none of these papers analyzed port choice in the aftermath of a disaster with accounting for the limited capacities of alternative ports. Akakura et al (2013bAkakura et al ( , 2014 have previously written about quantifying the demands for containerized cargo transport after large-scale disasters (LSDs) and have developed a port choice model for identifying alternative ports. Extending these results, this paper proposes an improvement for the port choice model by considering the capacity constraints of alternative ports.…”

Section: Figure 1 Ports In Japanmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In Akakura et al (2014), the recovery curve for international containerized cargo transport was quantified from the results of survey questionnaires distributed to companies in the manufacturing sector. The Tohoku and Kinki Regional Development Bureaus of MLIT administered these questionnaire surveys in 2011 and 2012.…”

Section: Recovery Curve Of Containerized Cargo Transportmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estimation of Alternative Ports for Container Transport after Large-scale Disasters - Estimation Method and Application to Port-BCPs -

et al. 2015

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As a result of the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami, the port facilities of eastern Japan on the Pacific Ocean suffered severe damage and, ports with access to the Sea of Japan or Tokyo Bay functioned as alternative ports. Similarly, after the Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake, Osaka port and other major ports functioned as alternatives to the damaged Kobe port. In response to these issues, each port in Japan has developed a business continuity plan (port-BCP). An important issue in port-BCPs is identifying alternative ports. In the aftermath of future large-scale disasters (LSDs) such as a Nankai Trough earthquake and tsunami, it is predicted that the three major bay ports, at which the handling of container volume in Japan is concentrated, would be severely damaged. It is therefore necessary to assume that the handling capacities of alternative ports may reach their limits after a disaster. Against this background, the purposes of this study are (1) to quantify the demands for container transport after LSDs, (2) to improve the port choice model used to identify alternative ports so that it considers the capacity constraints of those ports, and (3) to apply the estimation result to the Tohoku regional port-BCP with the aim of preventing the disruption of container transport in the region after an LSD.

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An Estimation of Recovery Curve of Maritime Containerized Cargo Demand After Large-Scale Earthquake and Tsunami

Cited by 2 publications

References 1 publication

Estimation Method for Port Cargo Demands After Large-Scale Earthquakes and Tsunamis

Estimation Method for Port Cargo Demands After Large-Scale Earthquakes and Tsunamis

Estimation of Alternative Ports for Container Transport after Large-scale Disasters - Estimation Method and Application to Port-BCPs -

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