An Attributional Model of Economic Voting: Evidence from the 2000 Presidential Election

Rudolph, Thomas; Grant, J. Tobin

doi:10.1177/106591290205500404

Cited by 71 publications

(40 citation statements)

References 30 publications

(26 reference statements)

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“…Individuals vary in the extent to which they attribute responsibility to government actions (Rudolph and Grant 2002), something largely conditioned by their cognitive capabilities (Gómez and Wilson 2001). Complicated economic information is hard for the average individual to process (C. J.…”

Section: Cognitive Conditions: the Role Of Political Sophisticationmentioning

confidence: 99%

In Times of Crisis: The Conditions of Pocketbook Effects

Curtis

2014

International Interactions

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When and how will personal financial (aka "pocketbook") concerns drive citizens' political decisions? Scholars remain puzzled by the mismatch between the expectation that pocketbook voting should occur and the reality that, according to most findings, it usually does not. Using original survey data collected immediately after Iceland's second "Icesave" referendum (2011), I first report the results of an embedded experiment that successfully evokes greater pocketbook concern. Next, I analyze the determinants of retrospective pocketbook evaluations, showing that priming effects are conditioned by political sophistication such that high sophisticates are among the most likely to report negative economic assessments. I then turn to the consequences of these egocentric views for government approval. Mediation analysis confirms a significant indirect effect, suggesting that subjective pocketbook evaluations exert a strong influence on political attitudes that has been hidden in prior work. Results illuminate the contextual, cognitive, and causal circumstances under which pocketbook effects transpire and suggest new ways in which self-interest might matter for attitudes toward international political economy issues.To what extent do personal financial (aka "pocketbook") concerns motivate individual attitudes and behavior? Two rather disparate research programs surround this question but as yet yield inconclusive (if not null) results and engage in little discourse with one another. In one arena, international

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Section: Cognitive Conditions: the Role Of Political Sophisticationmentioning

confidence: 99%

In Times of Crisis: The Conditions of Pocketbook Effects

Curtis

2014

International Interactions

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“…Economic data is far too voluminous and complicated for the average citizen to recall, let alone interpret (De Boef & Kellstedt, 2004;Holbrook & Garand, 1996). Subsequently, citizens rely on cues in economic news coverage to gauge changing economic conditions (De Boef & Kellstedt, 2004;Goidel & Langley, 1995;Hetherington, 1996;MacKuen, Erikson, & Stimson, 1992;Sanders & Gavin, 2004;Wu, Stevenson, Hsiao-Chi, & Guner, 2002), place personal finances in a broader economic context (Mutz, 1992(Mutz, , 1993(Mutz, , 1994, and attribute responsibility for economic outcomes (Rudolph, 2003(Rudolph, , 2006Rudolph & Grant, 2002). Particularly important is news coverage during economic downturns (real or perceived) as coverage increases in volume, is more negative in tone, and citizens pay increased attention to economic news (Fogarty, 2005;Harrington, 1989;Headrick & Lanoue, 1991;Hester & Gibson, 2003;Soroka, 2006;Wu et al, 2002).…”

Section: American Politics Research Xx(x)mentioning

confidence: 99%

Sources of Economic News and Economic Expectations

Goidel

Procopio²,

Terrell

et al. 2010

American Politics Research

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This article considers the process by which local economic news coverage influences individual evaluations of the economy. We improve on prior research by capturing a wider range of news sources (including national network news, national newspapers, local television news, and local newspapers) and connecting the effects of this coverage on individual level attitudes. We find that current personal financial evaluations, personal financial expectations, and short-term (12-month) expectations for the U.S. economy are related to national network coverage. Local television coverage of the economy is related to personal financial evaluations but not short-term economic expectations and local print news is important in structuring expectations of future business conditions. Overall, the findings illustrate important differences in economic coverage across media outlets and the effects of these differences on economic expectations. Exposure to different sources of economic information have significantly different effects on economic perceptions-suggesting a more complicated and nuanced role for the news media in shaping economic perceptions than indicated by previous research.

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“…These beliefs revolve around issues of responsibility . Perceptions of national economic conditions exert more influence on presidential approval and vote choice when an attribution of presidential responsibility is made (Lau and Sears 1981;Kinder and Mebane 1983;Peffley and Williams 1985;Rudolph and Grant 2002;Tyler 1982). .…”

Section: Economic Voting and The Role Of Responsibility Attributionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Who's Responsible for the Economy? The Formation and Consequences of Responsibility Attributions

Rudolph

2003

American Journal of Political Science

Self Cite

105

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The concept of responsibility lies at the heart of theories of democratic accountability. This article represents the first attempt to explicitly model attributions of presidential versus congressional responsibility for the economy. The article investigates the extent to which contextual and individual-level factors influence citizens' attributions of responsibility for the economy and how, in turn, such judgments shape their political evaluations. Employing a multinomial probit model of attributional choice, I find that responsibility judgments are shaped to varying degrees by economic ideology, perceptions of institutional context, and partisanship, although the effects of partisanship are not uniform across political parties. The results demonstrate that responsibility attributions are politically consequential and moderate the effects of economic perceptions on presidential and congressional approval. Finally, the results suggest that the effects of responsibility attributions in the sanctioning process are not invariant across the target of institutional evaluation. for their helpful comments. Responsibility for any errors may be attributed to me.

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An Attributional Model of Economic Voting: Evidence from the 2000 Presidential Election

Cited by 71 publications

References 30 publications

In Times of Crisis: The Conditions of Pocketbook Effects

In Times of Crisis: The Conditions of Pocketbook Effects

Sources of Economic News and Economic Expectations

Who's Responsible for the Economy? The Formation and Consequences of Responsibility Attributions

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