Tube in tube phase change material (PCM) heat exchangers have great potential as latent thermal energy storage (LTES) systems. However, sizing and designing these systems is still a challenge. Standard heat exchanger models cannot be applied due to the non-linear and transient heat transfer behavior of the PCM. Several alternative methods are suggested but these models are unable to predict the complete outlet state as a function of time. To fill this gap, an analytical model is derived to estimate the phase change front position as a function of time. It is proposed that the time the front needs to reach a certain vertical position is a linear function of the position. To validate the proposed analytical model, experiments are performed on a vertical tube in tube heat exchanger with varying inlet conditions. In the inner tube, water flows as heat transfer fluid (HTF). A paraffin is used as PCM in the outer tube. The phase change front position is evaluated at the outside of the tube. The movement of the phase change front is represented by plotting the vertical position of the front as a function of time. The position of the front is determined based on visual measurements using a camera placed next to the tube. By predicting the front position as a function of time, the performance of the heat exchanger can be determined. Different designs can be compared more easily, without needing to experimentally test or simulate, leading to a shorter and less expensive design phase for LTES systems, enhancing their large-scale roll-out.