Abstract:For small unguided space interceptors, the interception probability is an important index to evaluate their strike capability. However, the Monte Carlo (MC) based simulation method not only consumes a lot of computation time but also theoretically lacks interpretability. In this regard, this paper proposes an analytical method that can quickly and accurately calculate the short-term space interception probability. Firstly, by considering the effect of perturbation force on spacecraft as the effect of external … Show more
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