An analysis of the timber situation in the United States: 1989-2040

Forestry sector analysis for developing countries: issues and methods.

“…Each policy goal requires a different analytical paradigm. 3 Analysis of the demand-supply situation for timber has a history in the United States dating to 1876 The complete bibliography of these assessments is given in appendix C of Haynes(1990) 4 "Stumpage market" is a term used for those wood markets where the timber is sold by standing volumes In such markets, the purchasers bear the cost (and associated risks) of harvesting the wood An alternative form used in some areas of Europe is a log market where timber is sold after harvest but before removal from the forest A third variation, used in parts of Canada, is a market based on delivered wood costs These are just different ways of pricing a factor of production 5 The progressive movement, at the end of the 19th century in the United States, sought to introduce scientific methods and techniques to the solution of public issues 6 One common manifestation of the public interest has been the intent of many natural resource management actions to contribute "to the greatest good for the greatest number" Nelson (1987) describes this shift in government economic policies for the United States…”

“…79 Some of the earlier applications dealt with the turbulent oil markets of the 1970s (Wack 1985, Schwartz 1991. In forestry, scenario planning techniques have been a part of the RPA efforts since the 1983 RPA timber assessment update (Haynes 1990, USDA Forest Service 1982. Most forestry applications take a classical sensitivity analysis approach, a limited number of key exogenous and endogenous elements are varied and key projection results examined for differences.…”

“…from Siberia and the former Soviet Far East. These economic impacts were estimated in a market context by using timber supply and demand relations (taken from the 1989 RPA timber assessment [Haynes 1990]) for the Pacific Northwest, Pacific Southwest, and the Rocky Mountains. Economic impacts were estimated by first computing the equilibrium price and quantity by decade and region, and than recomputing the modified equilibrium price and quantity following a shift in the stumpage supply functions, assumed to be induced by changes in growing stock inventories.…”

Forest Harvest Patterns on Private Lands in the Cascade Mountains, Washington, USA

“…Accessibility and transportation costs directly influence logging activities [80]. The identification of lower elevations and gentler slopes with harvested points may be a function of favorable growing conditions that yield premium timber, but it is more likely that human-use decisions hold sway: trees are more accessible at lower elevations and gentler slopes, and present fewer challenges compared to steep slopes, where specialized cable logging practices are typically required.…”

Regional perspective: Forest conditions and silvicultural trends in the northeastern USA

“…Shifing Inventory Trends -Timber demand in the region will rise, but continued increases in aggregate inventory are pre jected (Haynes, 1990). Land ownership changes, however, are likely to cause the commercially available growing stock inventory to peak and then decline in another decade or so (Irland and Whaley, 1993).…”