2018
DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14442
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Ambient changes exceed treatment effects on plant species abundance in global change experiments

Abstract: The responses of species to environmental changes will determine future community composition and ecosystem function. Many syntheses of global change experiments examine the magnitude of treatment effect sizes, but we lack an understanding of how plant responses to treatments compare to ongoing changes in the unmanipulated (ambient or background) system. We used a database of long‐term global change studies manipulating CO2, nutrients, water, and temperature to answer three questions: (a) How do changes in pla… Show more

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Cited by 30 publications
(37 citation statements)
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“…Furthermore, certain stressors, for example nitrogen deposition [84], accumulate over time, which can delay ecological effects and further complicate multiple-stressor predictions. Importantly, the background variation under ambient conditions needs to be considered: a recent example from plant communities showed that ambient changes may actually outweigh the impact of stressors over time [85]. Understanding if and how interactions between stressors can change over time is a goal shared by all disciplines.…”
Section: (A) Ecological Complexitymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Furthermore, certain stressors, for example nitrogen deposition [84], accumulate over time, which can delay ecological effects and further complicate multiple-stressor predictions. Importantly, the background variation under ambient conditions needs to be considered: a recent example from plant communities showed that ambient changes may actually outweigh the impact of stressors over time [85]. Understanding if and how interactions between stressors can change over time is a goal shared by all disciplines.…”
Section: (A) Ecological Complexitymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This high temporal fluctuations were most likely due to variations in ambient rainfall and manifested as both significant interactions between the experimental treatments and sampling season, and as alterations in the coefficient of variation of many ecosystem attributes and functions across time. Together with the general lack of consistent effects across time, this evidence suggests that many grasslands may be naturally buffered against the effects of climate change through the exhibition of high spatiotemporal variation (Fridley et al 2011, Langley et al 2018).…”
Section: Role Of Environmental Heterogeneity To Buffer Against Consismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We therefore argue that shifts in plant species dominance in response to elevated CO 2 and nitrogen fertilization observed under ambient rates of SLR 42,43 may be less important under higher rates of SLR as simulated in the present study. This notion is supported by the observation that decadal-scale oscillations in local sea level at GCReW have stronger effects on plant community composition than elevated CO 2 and nitrogen fertilization treatments of the long-term field experiments 34,44 .…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 76%