2022
DOI: 10.1101/2022.04.14.488301
|View full text |Cite
Preprint
|
Sign up to set email alerts
|

AlphaFold2 can predict single-mutation effects

Abstract: AlphaFold2 (AF2) is a promising tool for structural biology, but is it sufficiently accurate to predict the effect of missense mutations? We find that structural variation between closely related 1-3 mutations) protein pairs is correlated across experimental and AF2-predicted structures ~90,000 pairs. Analysis of ~10,000 predicted structures from three high-throughput studies linking sequence and phenotype (fluorescence, foldability, and catalysis) demonstrates that AF2 can predict the phenotypic effect of mis… Show more

Help me understand this report
View published versions

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...
5

Citation Types

1
28
0

Year Published

2022
2022
2024
2024

Publication Types

Select...
4
3

Relationship

1
6

Authors

Journals

citations
Cited by 15 publications
(30 citation statements)
references
References 74 publications
(154 reference statements)
1
28
0
Order By: Relevance
“…93,94 For example, in a separate recent study of ours, we studied the effect of single mutations on structure (using proteins in the protein data bank, and AlphaFold), finding that structural perturbations are felt up to 2 nm away from the mutated residue. 95 This is consistent with our assertion that far-away mutations can influence molecular discrimination.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 92%
“…93,94 For example, in a separate recent study of ours, we studied the effect of single mutations on structure (using proteins in the protein data bank, and AlphaFold), finding that structural perturbations are felt up to 2 nm away from the mutated residue. 95 This is consistent with our assertion that far-away mutations can influence molecular discrimination.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 92%
“…Homology models derived from high resolution structures of related proteins have been proposed to serve as sufficient templates for the interpretation of disease-causing variants (56,57), although AF2 models are expected to further improve the accuracy of the predictions (58). Due to the integration of deep multiple sequence alignments (MSAs) in the AF2 prediction pipeline, it is unclear if strict assessment of missense mutations on protein structure will uncover either strong correlations or predictive outcomes between the WT and variant sequences for a given metric (59)(60)(61). Indeed, rational manipulation of the MSA through subsampling (62,63) or introduction of strategic point mutant combinations (64) have been necessary to explore structural heterogeneity of AF2 model predictions.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Originally developed to solve the long‐standing protein folding problem, AlphaFold2 has already seen many spin‐off studies to assess its potential (Evans et al, 2022 ; Porta‐Pardo et al, 2022 ; Robertson et al, 2021 ; Ruff & Pappu, 2021 ; Tsaban et al, 2022 ). So far, evidence suggests that AlphaFold2 cannot effectively predict changes in folding free energy upon mutation (Buel & Walters, 2022 ; McBride et al, 2022 ; Pak et al, 2021 ). However, more studies are needed to explore this possibility fully.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%