2006
DOI: 10.1016/j.jsc.2005.09.011
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Algorithmic methods for investigating equilibria in epidemic modeling

Abstract: The calculation of threshold conditions for models of infectious diseases is of central importance for developing vaccination policies. These models are often coupled systems of ordinary differential equations, in which case the computation of threshold conditions can be reduced to the question of stability of the disease-free equilibrium. This paper shows how computing threshold conditions for such models can be done fully algorithmically using quantifier elimination for real closed fields and related simplif… Show more

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Cited by 41 publications
(38 citation statements)
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References 25 publications
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“…(7-9). The systems is widely used and well studied [23][24][25][26][27]. So we will not provide new insights into the structure of the system, but it is well suited as a test object for our algorithmic methods.…”
Section: The Sirs Epidemiological Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…(7-9). The systems is widely used and well studied [23][24][25][26][27]. So we will not provide new insights into the structure of the system, but it is well suited as a test object for our algorithmic methods.…”
Section: The Sirs Epidemiological Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Since many epidemiological models exhibit the threshold phenomenon one expects in general these conditions to present some kind of redundance, and so need a simplification work. In [5] the factorization of the characteristic polynomial at the disease free equilibrium was used as a "divide and conquer" strategy to simplify the Routh-Hurwitz conditions and this was successful for several models.…”
Section: Finding Equilibria and Factorizing Their Characteristic Polymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…One may indeed use a Routh-Hurwitz like criterion to formulate the problem as a first order formula in the language of ordered fields and then resort to real algebra algorithms as a simplification tool, see e.g., [2,5,12,14,16]. This approach has the advantage of being completely algorithmic, but due to the very complex combinatorial nature of simplification of first order formulae it may produce a quite involved condition for some models whereas hand calculations are successful in producing a simple equivalent condition, see e.g., [5].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Specifically we will use Maple [10], Reduce [13] and Z3 [12]. Using all these computational tools the endemic equilibrium configuration and the basic reproductive number [3,4,5,6,7,8] will be derived. From the algebraic expression for the basic reproductive number some control measures will be proposed.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%