Alckmin E Dória: Duas Faces Da Mesma Moeda? Uma Análise Exploratória Das Eleições De 2014 E 2018 Para O Governo De São Paulo

Abstract

The article aims to verify comparatively the distribution of the PSDB's voting for São Paulo's government between the 2014 and 2018 elections, which had, respectively, Geraldo Alckmin and João Doria as candidates. We assess the significant changes in the electoral scenario that might have contributed to the PSDB's voting decline in the state in the last election. Our brand-new database has first-round voting data and average schooling and age for more than 80,000 voting sections. Although Doria's voting was not as expressive as Alckmin's in 2014, we argue the voters' profile of both candidates is similar. We observe a clear pattern when we visualize the distribution of voting, considering the two social variables in the voting sections. As the main result, older and more educated voters tend to have a higher weight in the voting of both candidates.