Airport terminal passenger forecast under the impact of COVID-19 outbreaks: A case study from China

Tang, Hao; Yu, Jie; Lin, Boqiang; Yang, Geng; Wang, Zhe; Chen, Xi; Yang, Li; Lin, Tianshu; Xing, Feng

doi:10.1016/j.jobe.2022.105740

Cited by 5 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 48 publications

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“…Te researchers found that this detrimental efect may have been exacerbated by the ongoing lockdown and travel restrictions in diferent counties. In addition, a study conducted by [27] examined the potential correlation between government-imposed COVID-19 restriction policies and the administration of COVID-19 vaccines. Te study discovered that COVID-19 had a strong infuence but a negative impact in pandemic era.…”

Section: Studies On Overfow Efect Of Covid-19 Pandemic Onmentioning

confidence: 99%

Overflow Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Market Performance: A Study Based on Growing Economy

Qadri

Raza²,

Qadri

et al. 2023

Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society

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Purpose. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effect that COVID-19 has on the performance of the stock market in emerging economies. The findings as a whole demonstrate that the stock market does not react significantly. We believe that the outcomes of this study provide knowledge that is useful for decision makers in financial markets and policy all around the globe. Methods. Data for 140 companies are obtained from the official websites of the companies listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange. The Wilcoxon signed-rank test was used to determine whether there was a significant difference before and after the pandemic era. In addition, the ARDL model was chosen because of the variable integration mix (order 0 and 1). Implications. Theoretically, it added to the information that was already available about the implications of the COVID-19 pandemic on the performance of stock markets in emerging economies. In a purely practical way, it will help those in charge of making policies come up with plans to deal with things that cannot be predicted. Results. The findings of the analysis demonstrate that the COVID-19 pandemic has caused a 52.85% reduction in the volatility of Pakistan’s net profit returns. The study shows a statistically insignificant negative association between the COVID-19 pandemic and Pakistan’s stock returns. The empirical results of ARDL models provide the first conclusion of the analysis, indicating that the number of long-term connections was greater than short-term connections. Conclusion. According to the findings of the research, the pandemic caused by COVID-19 has a bigger impact on the financial performance of enterprises (both positively and negatively). Some companies are able to maintain their place in the market even if the bulk of the firms see their performance suffer during a pandemic. Originality. We are the first to use the ARDL model to evaluate the effect of the new COVID-19 pandemic on a stock market in a developing nation.

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Section: Studies On Overfow Efect Of Covid-19 Pandemic Onmentioning

confidence: 99%

Overflow Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Market Performance: A Study Based on Growing Economy

Qadri

Raza²,

Qadri

et al. 2023

Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society

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“…Ref. [22] acknowledged the need for research into which global pandemic-related variables should be considered when predicting airport passenger trends in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, and they conducted daily correlation analyses between COVID-19 pandemic trends and air passenger traffic in China's main airport terminals. Ref.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Ref. [22] categorized air passenger change during the COVID-19 outbreak into three stages (reduction, stabilization, and recovery) and utilized SHAP in order to quantify the contribution of input variables based on daily passenger traffic using the LightGBM model. As a result, sophisticated forecasting-based countermeasures were proposed for airport terminal operations in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Determining Factors Influencing Short-Term International Aviation Traffic Demand Using SHAP Analysis: Before COVID-19 and Now

Song,

Choi,

Elkosantini

et al. 2023

Sustainability

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Due to the COVID-19 outbreak, international aviation travel has declined globally to the level it was 30 years ago. Influencing factors are explored to understand the difference in short-term international aviation travel demand before and after the COVID-19 pandemic. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), an exploratory data analysis methodology, is applied to identify the factors affecting aviation demand. Daily international aviation passenger volume data (1462 in total) between 2018 and 2021 are analyzed with 10 socioeconomic variables and the number of daily confirmed COVID-19 cases in Korea. It was found that the number of confirmed cases did not have the greatest direct influence on the short-term demand for international demand, but it has a strong correlation with socioeconomic factors. This study’s findings on the factors influencing short-term international air passenger demand from a macro perspective will contribute to demand forecasting after COVID-19. It is expected that this research can be applied to other countries or other pandemic data to investigate the post-pandemic demand changes.

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Prediction of Airline Flow Using Data Analytics Methods

Cayir Ervural

2023

Communications in Computer and Information Science

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Airport terminal passenger forecast under the impact of COVID-19 outbreaks: A case study from China

Cited by 5 publications

References 48 publications

Overflow Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Market Performance: A Study Based on Growing Economy

Overflow Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Market Performance: A Study Based on Growing Economy

Determining Factors Influencing Short-Term International Aviation Traffic Demand Using SHAP Analysis: Before COVID-19 and Now

Prediction of Airline Flow Using Data Analytics Methods

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