2019
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.419
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Airborne Alternaria and Cladosporium fungal spores in Europe: Forecasting possibilities and relationships with meteorological parameters

Abstract: No operational forecasting model for allergenic fungal spore exposure exists in Europe.• Potential exposure in Europe was assessed and predicted for 2 major allergenic fungi. • Random forest modelling was applied to N7000 daily time series. • Air temperature and vapour pressure were the most significant variables. • Classification models showed higher capacity for large-scale spore predictions.

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Cited by 69 publications
(53 citation statements)
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References 62 publications
(64 reference statements)
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“…Our results are comparable to those obtained in other monitoring locations located in central and eastern Europe (Croatia, Ukraine, Poland) (Kasprzyk et al, 2015;Peternel et al, 2004;Grinn-Gofron, 2019). However, across temporal and spatial dimensions, microclimate has a stronger influence and is an important indicator of spore concentration rather than vegetation type (Ianovici et al, 2013;Grinn-Gofroń et al, 2019).…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 88%
“…Our results are comparable to those obtained in other monitoring locations located in central and eastern Europe (Croatia, Ukraine, Poland) (Kasprzyk et al, 2015;Peternel et al, 2004;Grinn-Gofron, 2019). However, across temporal and spatial dimensions, microclimate has a stronger influence and is an important indicator of spore concentration rather than vegetation type (Ianovici et al, 2013;Grinn-Gofroń et al, 2019).…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 88%
“…Contributions of predictor are normalized to sum 1. The "Relaimpo package under R" was used to compute bootstrap confidence intervals for the importance of effective predictors (n = 1000) (Grömping, 2006). lease microorganisms along with plant debris into the atmosphere, strong air motions induce higher dispersion.…”
Section: Influence Of Meteorological Parameters On Ambient Concentratmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Wind is an important factor for the dispersal and transport of (bio)aerosols far from their sources [35]. In order to better characterize the Saclay prevailing winds pattern between July 2014 and December 2018 the ZeFir source-receptor tool was used.…”
Section: 5wind Prevalence At Saclaymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In the literature, rain has often been cited as the most efficient agent for the wet removal of bioaerosols [64]. However, precipitation alone would possibly be a poor driving parameter on regression models [35] for two main reasons 1) the annual variation of daily precipitation values does not closely correlate with the concentrations measured during dry or wet conditions, (2) precipitation on a daily basis presents high variability in time and space (rain patches). Therefore, instead of considering precipitation data, some works suggested to follow rain showers as a favorable trigger of PBAP generation [59].…”
Section: Factors Controling the Airborne Fungal Spore Concentrationsmentioning
confidence: 99%