1980
DOI: 10.2307/1239684
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Agricultural Comparative Advantage under International Price Uncertainty: The Case of Senegal

Abstract: This study draws upon recent theoretical contributions which have introduced uncertainty into trade theory to examine empirically the implications of international price uncertainty for agricultural comparative advantage in a small open economy assuming risk-adverse policy makers. Utilizing a price endogenous, linear programming model developed for Senegal, it is shown that Senegal's comparative advantage in the production of peanuts and comparative disadvantage in the production of cereals is less clearcut wh… Show more

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Cited by 26 publications
(7 citation statements)
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“…Hapgood, 1967; Bainard and Cooper, 1968;Jabara and Thompson, 1980;Jaffee, 1992;Delgado, 1995). In many developing countries, agricultural production is seen as excessively specialized because of a limited natural resource base or deliberate policy choices or distortions.…”
Section: Diversification In the Literature Of Agricultural Developmentmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Hapgood, 1967; Bainard and Cooper, 1968;Jabara and Thompson, 1980;Jaffee, 1992;Delgado, 1995). In many developing countries, agricultural production is seen as excessively specialized because of a limited natural resource base or deliberate policy choices or distortions.…”
Section: Diversification In the Literature Of Agricultural Developmentmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…If, on the one hand, the assumption that farmers are relatively risk-averse and the government is risk-neutral is reversed, the argument could be made that farmers overexpose the economy to risk. Such a proposition was advanced several years ago by Bainard and Cooper (1968) and Jabara and Thompson (1980), suggesting that corrective action by the government was called for. We question whether such corrective action is appropriate.…”
Section: Trade Policy and Diversificationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…What is needed is reformulation of the optimality conditions for production patterns, by rewriting the objective function as maximization of expected utility. Consideration of the effects of risk aversion could then be incorporated along the lines followed by J abara and Thompson (1980). They found that diversification or self-sufficiency may be an appropriate response to the variability of international prices.…”
Section: Evaluation and Summarymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In short, the presumption that individuals are rational does not enable us to predict their behavior, and efforts to explain agricultural performance in terms of the rationality of peasants (or planners) frequently prove tautologous, inconsistent, or confused. One recent attempt (Jabara and Thompson, 1980) to take account of the impact of international price fluctuations on economic policy argued that, because international prices of peanuts and rice are more unstable than that of millet, if Senegalese planners dislike instability, their comparative advantage lies in producing more millet, less rice, and fewer peanuts. If they enjoy gambling, presumably they should specialize completely in peanuts!…”
Section: Rational Peasants and Imperfect Structuresmentioning
confidence: 99%