Aggressive Aerosol Mitigation Policies Reduce Chances of Keeping Global Warming to Below 2C
R. Wood,
M. A. Vogt,
I. L. McCoy
Abstract:Aerosol increases over the 20th century delayed the rate at which Earth warmed as a result of increases in greenhouse gases (GHGs). Aggressive aerosol mitigation policies arrested aerosol radiative forcing from ∼1980 to ∼2010. Recent evidence supports decreases in forcing magnitude since then. Using the approximate partial radiative perturbation (APRP) method, future shortwave aerosol effective radiative forcing changes are isolated from other shortwave changes in an 18‐member ensemble of ScenarioMIP projectio… Show more
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