Agent-Based Modeling of Virtual Tumors Reveals the Critical Influence of Microenvironmental Complexity on Immunotherapy Efficacy

Abstract

Since the introduction of the first immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI), immunotherapy has changed the landscape of molecular therapeutics for cancers. However, ICIs do not work equally well on all cancers and for all patients. There has been a growing interest in using mathematical and computational models to optimize clinical responses. Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have been widely used for mechanistic modeling in immuno-oncology and immunotherapy. They allow rapid simulations of temporal changes in the cellular and molecular populations involved. Nonetheless, ODEs cannot describe the spatial structure in the tumor microenvironment or quantify the influence of spatially-dependent characteristics of tumor-immune dynamics. For these reasons, agent-based models (ABMs) have gained popularity because they can model more detailed phenotypic and spatial heterogeneity that better reflect the complexity seen in vivo. In the context of anti-PD-1 ICIs, we compare treatment outcomes simulated from an ODE model and an ABM to show the importance of including spatial components in computational models of cancer immunotherapy. We consider tumor cells of high and low antigenicity and two distinct cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL) killing mechanisms. The preferred mechanism differs based on the antigenicity of tumor cells. Our ABM reveals varied phenotypic shifts within the tumor and spatial organization of tumor and CTLs despite similarities in key immune parameters, initial simulation conditions, and early temporal trajectories of the cell populations.