2014
DOI: 10.1017/psrm.2014.37
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African Borders as Sources of Natural Experiments Promise and Pitfalls

Abstract: A frica's arbitrary country borders have been seized upon as sources of "natural experiments": having randomly assigned people to different country treatments, differences in outcomes on either side of the border can then be attributed to the institutions, demographics, or policies put in place in each country. While methodologically attractive, the use of African borders as sources of natural experiments presents several potential pitfalls. We describe these pitfalls-some common to all studies that employ jur… Show more

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Cited by 79 publications
(33 citation statements)
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References 33 publications
(33 reference statements)
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“…Colonial authorities drew these political borders in sub-Saharan Africa with little knowledge of or sensitivity to the distribution of cultural groups (McCauley & Posner, 2007;Posner, 2004b), so we can treat the "assignment" of coethnics as roughly orthogonal to cultural affinities. Within the sample of Afrobarometer respondents in the 2005-2006 wave, there are a handful of groups that happen also to span political borders: the Chewas in Zambia and Malawi, the Yorubas in Nigeria and Benin, and the Luos in Kenya and Uganda.…”
Section: Culturementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Colonial authorities drew these political borders in sub-Saharan Africa with little knowledge of or sensitivity to the distribution of cultural groups (McCauley & Posner, 2007;Posner, 2004b), so we can treat the "assignment" of coethnics as roughly orthogonal to cultural affinities. Within the sample of Afrobarometer respondents in the 2005-2006 wave, there are a handful of groups that happen also to span political borders: the Chewas in Zambia and Malawi, the Yorubas in Nigeria and Benin, and the Luos in Kenya and Uganda.…”
Section: Culturementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Such an approach has been used, for example, to measure the effect of institutions on economic development20 or to assess the role of policy measures on sociopolitical outcomes21. The use of jurisdictional borders to infer the causal effect of policies is not without criticism22. In our setting, lack of comparability of the two sides of the border due to differences in terrain may invalidate inference concerning the drivers of forest cover variation across countries.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…8 See, for example, Posner (2004). 9 For a discussion of these potential pitfalls, see McCauley and Posner (2015). 10 McCauley and Posner 2015.…”
Section: Explaining Variation In Religious Saliencementioning
confidence: 99%
“…3 Finke and Iannaccone 1993.4 Kalyvas 2000;Toft 2007.5 Levitt and List 2007. 6 For a review of studies that leverage African borders as sources of quasi-experimental leverage, seeMcCauley and Posner (2015).2 MC CAU LEY AND POSN ERhttps:/www.cambridge.org/core/terms. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123416000594 Downloaded from https:/www.cambridge.org/core.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%