Afghanistan’s ‘Political Insecurity’ and the Emerging Geopolitical Calculus in Eurasia

Abstract

The ‘sustainable peace’ is eluding Afghanistan over centuries. This can largely be attributed to both external geopolitical factors as well as the internal domestic realignments. Often these two factors operate in isolation and at times collude with each other, thus accentuating both domestic and regional instability. The fallout of protracted conflict in Afghanistan in the last few decades has resulted in the emergence of weak governance structure along with the proliferation of radicalism and the flow of narcotics to the neighbouring regions. Eurasia is one such region which has largely been affected by the developments in Afghanistan. The Eurasian states’ engagement with Afghanistan can be looked both through the prism of geopolitical developments that took place in the region following the collapse of the Soviet Union and post-9/11 developments which resulted in the intervention of external actors. The present geopolitical imbroglio is largely emanating from the decision of the United States to leave Afghanistan and the Russian’s desire to fill the vacuum. Iran and China are also engaged in shaping the geopolitical dynamics of this trouble-torn state. India, on the other hand, perceives security and stability of Afghanistan are important for greater regional economic cooperation which will facilitate its effective engagement in Eurasia.

Sowing the wheat seeds of Afghanistan's future

“…The international community has spent trillions on security and many millions in Afghanistan on development from 2001 to 2021 (SIGAR, 2021). The future of Afghanistan will continue to affect other countries in the Eurasian region and the international community at large (Mohapatra, 2020). There is convincing logic in providing humanitarian and development aid into the future to tackle the long‐term multisectoral development challenges, particularly food security (Poole et al, 2018; WFP, 2020).…”