Abstract:Gap acceptance theory is broadly used for evaluating unsignalized intersections in developed countries. Intersections with no specific priority to any movement, known as uncontrolled intersections, are common in India. Limited priority is observed at a few intersections, where priorities are perceived by drivers based on geometry, traffic volume, and speed on the approaches of intersection. Analyzing such intersections is complex because the overall traffic behavior is the result of drivers, vehicles, and traf… Show more
“…However, these studies are focused on modeling driver's behaviour. Recently, works are also reported on modeling gap acceptance behaviour of right turning vehicles at partially controlled three-legged intersections using adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system and found that the predictions for major right turning ranged from 75% to 82% whereas for minor right turning, it is 87% to 89% (Sangole and Patil, 2014).…”
“…However, these studies are focused on modeling driver's behaviour. Recently, works are also reported on modeling gap acceptance behaviour of right turning vehicles at partially controlled three-legged intersections using adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system and found that the predictions for major right turning ranged from 75% to 82% whereas for minor right turning, it is 87% to 89% (Sangole and Patil, 2014).…”
“…However, the fuzzy logic system is more complex; thus, it is difficult for the human brain to understand the causality existing in such system [25]. According to recent literature [26], an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is a combination of neural network and fuzzy logic approaches; hence, it inherently has the advantages of both, such as having a good…”
Section: Establishing the Real-time Crash Risk Prediction Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To obtain the more accurate real-time crash risk prediction model, we used the main factors influencing the crash risk as the input variables (as shown in Table 1) and the crash risk as the output variable to train ANFIS of real-time crash risk in this study. All the input variables were fuzzy variables, which should be described and measured using linguistic rather than precise numerical values [26]. In this study, each input variable was divided into the following linguistic variables: negative big (NB), negative small (NS), zero (ZO), positive small (PS), and positive big (PB).…”
We developed a real-time crash risk prediction model for urban expressways in China in this study. About two-year crash data and their matching traffic sensor data from the Beijing section of Jingha expressway were utilized for this research. The traffic data in six 5-minute intervals between 0 and 30 minutes prior to crash occurrence was extracted, respectively. To obtain the appropriate data training period, the data (in each 5-minute interval) during six different periods was collected as training data, respectively, and the crash risk value under different data conditions was defined. Then we proposed a new real-time crash risk prediction model using decision tree method and adaptive neural network fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). By comparing several real-time crash risk prediction methods, it was found that our proposed method had higher precision than others. And the training error and testing error were minimum (0.280 and 0.291, resp.) when the data during 0 to 30 minutes prior to crash occurrence was collected and the decision tree-ANFIS method was applied to train and establish the real-time crash risk prediction model. The prediction accuracy of the crash occurrence could reach 65% when 0.60 was considered as the crash prediction threshold.
“…Thus, describing the risk perception of drivers using one particular formula is difficult. According to recent literature [8], an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is a combination of neural network and fuzzy logic approaches; hence, it inherently has the advantages of both, such as having a good learning mechanism and reasoning capability. Accordingly, we adopted ANFIS to model drivers' risk perception at unsignalized intersections in China in this study.…”
Section: Quantifying Risk Perception Of Driversmentioning
Abstract. Drivers' risk perception is vital to driving behavior and traffic safety. In the dynamic interaction of a driver-vehicle-environment system, drivers' risk perception changes dynamically. This study focused on drivers' risk perception at unsignalized intersections in China and analyzed drivers' crossing behavior. Based on cognitive psychology theory and an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system, quantitative models of drivers' risk perception were established for the crossing processes between two straight-moving vehicles from the orthogonal direction. The acceptable risk perception levels of drivers were identified using a self-developed data analysis method. Based on game theory, the relationship among the quantitative value of drivers' risk perception, acceptable risk perception level, and vehicle motion state was analyzed. The models of drivers' crossing behavior were then established. Finally, the behavior models were validated using data collected from real-world vehicle movements and driver decisions. The results showed that the developed behavior models had both high accuracy and good applicability. This study would provide theoretical and algorithmic references for the microscopic simulation and active safety control system of vehicles.
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