Adaptation to climate change and climate variability in European agriculture: The importance of farm level responses

Reidsma, P.; Ewert, Frank; Lansink, A.G.J.M. Oude; Leemans, Rik

doi:10.1016/j.eja.2009.06.003

Cited by 388 publications

(236 citation statements)

References 39 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

225

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Climate change adaptation has received growing attention as an important response strategy and management option to reduce vulnerability and enhance resilience in different sectors, including water resources (Connell-Buck et al 2011;Charlton and Arnell 2011;Sowers et al 2011;Hanak and Lund 2012;Iglesias et al 2013), agriculture (Reidsma et al 2010;Olesen et al 2011;Klein et al 2013), energy (Madani and Lund 2010;Guegan et al 2012;Jamali et al 2013;Madani et al 2014) and environment (Palmer et al 2009;Cross et al 2013).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

System Dynamics Evaluation of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for Water Resources Management in Central Iran

Gohari

Mirchi

Madani

2017

Water Resour Manage

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The Zayandeh-Rud River basin, Iran, is projected to face spatiotemporally heterogeneous temperature increase and precipitation reduction that will decrease water supply by mid-century. With projected increase (0.70-1.03°C) in spring temperature and reduction (6-55%) in winter precipitation, the upper Zayandeh-Rud sub-basin, the main source of renewable water supply, will likely become warmer and drier. In the lower sub-basin, 1.1-1.5°C increase in temperature and 11-31% decrease in annual precipitation are likely. A system dynamics model was used to analyze adaptation strategies taking into account feedbacks between water resources development and biophysical and socioeconomic sub-systems. Results suggest that infrastructural improvements, rigorous water demand management (e.g., replacing high water demand crops such as rice, corn, and alfalfa), and ecosystem-based regulatory prioritization, complemented by supply augmentation can temporarily alleviate water stress in a basin that is essentially governed by the Limits to Growth archetype.

show abstract

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

System Dynamics Evaluation of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for Water Resources Management in Central Iran

Gohari

Mirchi

Madani

2017

Water Resour Manage

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…The indicators were selected on the basis of similar studies that were investigating impacts of certain drivers on farm level responses (e.g. Reidsma et al 2010). For technology we used variable input costs for cultivating 1 ha of ware potato (€/ha) and winter wheat (€/ha); for policy: total subsidies (€/ha); for market: prices for ware potato (€/100 kg) and winter wheat (€/100 kg); for climate: minimum and maximum annual temperature (°C).…”

Section: Historical Trend Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Scenarios of long-term farm structural change for application in climate change impact assessment

2012

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Towards 2050, climate change is one of the possible drivers that will change the farming landscape, but market, policy and technological development may be at least equally important. In the last decade, many studies assessed impacts of climate change and specific adaptation strategies. However, adaptation to climate change must be considered in the context of other driving forces that will cause farms of the future to look differently from today's farms. In this paper we use a historical analysis of the influence of different drivers on farm structure, complemented with literature and stakeholder consultations, to assess future structural change of farms in a region under different plausible futures. As climate change is one of the drivers considered, this study thus puts climate change impact and adaptation into the context of other drivers. The province of Flevoland in the north of The Netherlands was used as case study, with arable farming as the main activity. To account for the heterogeneity of farms and to indicate possible directions of farm structural change, a farm typology was developed. Trends in past developments in farm types were analyzed with data from the Dutch agricultural census. The historical analysis allowed to detect the relative importance of driving forces that contributed to farm structural changes. Simultaneously, scenario assumptions about changes in these driving forces elaborated at global and European levels, were downscaled for Flevoland, to regional and farm type level in order to project impacts of drivers on farm structural change towards 2050. Input from stakeholders was also used to detail the downscaled scenarios and to derive historical and future relationships between drivers and farm structural change. These downscaled scenarios and future driver-farm structural change relationships were used to derive quantitative estimations of farm structural change at regional and farm type level in Flevoland. In addition, stakeholder input was used to also derive images of future farms in Flevoland. The estimated farm structural changes differed substantially between the two scenarios. Our estimations of farm structural change provide a proper context for assessing impacts of and adaptation to climate change in 2050 at crop and farm level.

show abstract

“…Furthermore, a full assessment of the climate change impacts on agricultural production should take comprehensively into account available adaptation strategies (Reidsma et al, 2010), and account for the uncertainties from many physical, biological, and social-economic processes (Tubiello et al, 2007;Tao et al, 2009a). Modelling studies can contribute to policy by providing the science to underpin strategic decisions.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adaptation of maize production to climate change in North China Plain: Quantify the relative contributions of adaptation options

Tao¹,

Zhang²

2010

European Journal of Agronomy

187

112

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Adaptation to climate change and climate variability in European agriculture: The importance of farm level responses

Cited by 388 publications

References 39 publications

System Dynamics Evaluation of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for Water Resources Management in Central Iran

System Dynamics Evaluation of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for Water Resources Management in Central Iran

Scenarios of long-term farm structural change for application in climate change impact assessment

Adaptation of maize production to climate change in North China Plain: Quantify the relative contributions of adaptation options

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About