“…These strands could together accommodate as much as 25% of the total slip of the NAF (Armijo et al., 2002; Flerit et al., 2003), with slip rates between 7 and less than 1 mm/yr on the MNAF estimated with geodetical (Ergintav et al., 2014; Özbey et al., 2021; Reilinger et al., 2006) and geological data (Gasperini et al., 2011; Özalp et al., 2013; Vardar et al., 2014). While the SNAF experienced a Mw 7.2 earthquake in 1953 (Ketin & Rösli, 1953; Kürçer et al., 2008, 2019), no major earthquake ruptured the MNAF during the instrumental period, and the seismicity of the MNAF zone during the last eight decades does not include more than a couple of earthquakes larger than Mw 5. The microseismicity recently recorded has been mostly located west of Iznik Lake and around the Gulf of Gemlik, while the other segments in the east have been characterized by much fewer events and appear quiescent compared with the neighboring NAF strands (Baris et al., 2002; Gürbüz et al., 2000; Öztürk et al., 2009; Tsukuda et al., 1988).…”