Active Layer Detachment Slides and Retrogressive Thaw Slumps Susceptibility Mapping for Current and Future Permafrost Distribution, Yukon Alaska Highway Corridor

Blais-Stevens, A; Kremer, Marian; Bonnaventure, Philip P.; Smith, Sharon L.; Lipovsky, Panya; Lewkowicz, Antoni G.

doi:10.1007/978-3-319-09300-0_86

Cited by 14 publications

(16 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…Under these conditions, discontinuous permafrost is expected to degrade rapidly (Panda et al., 2014; Pastick et al., 2015), resulting in drastic changes to groundwater hydrology (Walvoord & Kurylyk, 2016) and facilitating the initiation of shallow‐angle landslides (Patton et al., 2019; Swanson, 2021). Shallow‐angle permafrost landslides have been documented elsewhere in the Denali Park Road corridor (Patton et al., 2020), Canada (e.g., Blais‐Stevens et al., 2015; Lewkowicz, 2007; Zwieback et al., 2019), Russia (Khak & Kozyreva, 2012; Zwieback et al., 2018), and other parts of Alaska (Bowden et al., 2008; Daanen et al., 2012; Gooseff et al., 2009; Swanson, 2021). Although increased evapotranspiration rates may result in lower soil moisture over the course of the year (Rupp & Loya, 2008), changes to storm intensity will continue to promote rain‐induced and thaw‐induced landslides.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…have documented frequent shallow-angle permafrost landslides. These investigations found that ALDs accounted for 3%-93% of all documented slides, with an expected increase as permafrost thaws (Blais-Stevens et al, 2015;Leibman, 1995). Landslide mapping in the study area along the Denali National Park (DNP) road corridor found that 12% of mapped landslides were ALDs and concluded that up to 75% of landslides are influenced by shallow permafrost (Patton et al, 2020).…”

mentioning

confidence: 90%

“…Although individual ALDs do not displace large volumes of material, their collective frequency and broad spatial distribution results in a large cumulative impact. Landslide investigations in northern Canada (Lewkowicz & Harris, 2005a; Lewkowicz, 2007), along the Alaska‐Yukon Highway (Blais‐Stevens et al., 2015), central Alaska (Patton et al., 2020), and Russia (Khomutov & Leibman, 2014; Leibman et al., 2014) have documented frequent shallow‐angle permafrost landslides. These investigations found that ALDs accounted for 3%–93% of all documented slides, with an expected increase as permafrost thaws (Blais‐Stevens et al., 2015; Leibman, 1995).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Landslide investigations in northern Canada (Lewkowicz & Harris, 2005a; Lewkowicz, 2007), along the Alaska‐Yukon Highway (Blais‐Stevens et al., 2015), central Alaska (Patton et al., 2020), and Russia (Khomutov & Leibman, 2014; Leibman et al., 2014) have documented frequent shallow‐angle permafrost landslides. These investigations found that ALDs accounted for 3%–93% of all documented slides, with an expected increase as permafrost thaws (Blais‐Stevens et al., 2015; Leibman, 1995). Landslide mapping in the study area along the Denali National Park (DNP) road corridor found that 12% of mapped landslides were ALDs and concluded that up to 75% of landslides are influenced by shallow permafrost (Patton et al., 2020).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Ongoing Landslide Deformation in Thawing Permafrost

Patton

Rathburn

Capps

et al. 2021

Geophysical Research Letters

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

mentioning

confidence: 90%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Ongoing Landslide Deformation in Thawing Permafrost

Patton

Rathburn

Capps

et al. 2021

Geophysical Research Letters

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“…In the last decade, several climate extremes were noted in the Arctic [8]. They attracted interest to the response of permafrost with massive ground ice to high summer warmth episodes with both positive (higher retreat rates) [9][10][11][12][13][14][15] and negative (lower retreat rates) [16] responses.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Coastal Retreat Due to Thermodenudation on the Yugorsky Peninsula, Russia during the Last Decade, Update since 2001–2010

et al. 2021

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Thermodenudation on the Kara seacoast, the Yugorsky Peninsula, Russia, is studied by analyzing remote-sensing data. Landforms resulting from the thaw of tabular ground ice, referred to as thermocirques, are formed due to polycyclic retrogressive thaw slumps, during the last decade 2010–2020. We calculate the retreat rate of the thermocirque edge using various statistical approaches. We compared thermocirque outlines by the end of each time interval defined by the dates of available very-high-resolution imagery. Six thermocirques within two key sites on the Yugorsky peninsula are monitored. We correlate each of the thermocirque edge’s retreat rates to various climatic parameters obtained at the Amderma weather station to understand the interrelation patterns better. As a result, we find a very low correlation between the retreat rate of each thermocirque and summer warmth, rainfall, and wave action. In general, the activity of thermodenudation decreases in time from the previous decade (2001–2010) to 2010–2020, and from 2010 towards 2020, although the summer warmth trend increases dramatically. A single thermocirque or series of thermocirques expand in response to environmental and geological factors in coastal retreat caused by thermodenudation.

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Advances in retrogressive thaw slump research in permafrost regions

Li,

Liu,

Chen

et al. 2024

Permafrost & Periglacial

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A retrogressive thaw slump (RTS) is a slope failure formed by slope thaw settlement and retrogressive slump following the thawing of ice‐rich permafrost or the melting of massive ice. Here, we review recent literature on RTSs, one of the main geomorphological landscapes developed in the process of permafrost degradation. The main topics are as follows: development and temporal evolution, mechanisms and processes, influencing factors, evaluation susceptibility and calculation, and assessment of engineering and environmental impacts. There has been a rapid increase in the number and distribution area of RTSs over permafrost in recent years. Climate warming events, extreme rainfall, forest fires, bank and coast erosion, and anthropogenic activity are the primary factors leading to RTSs in permafrost regions, disrupting the initial hydrothermal equilibrium of permafrost slopes. This causes a rise in ground temperature and the thaw of ice‐rich permafrost. Meltwater seeps down and collects on the ice surface, weakening freeze–thaw interface shear resistance and resulting in soil collapse. The development of RTSs may last several decades or longer. RTSs destabilize infrastructure, destroy vegetation, boost soil erosion and land desertification, alter the environment of nearby waters, and increase emissions of some major greenhouse gases. Numerous methods have been developed and adopted to explore RTSs, including geographic information systems (GIS) and equilibrium, numerical, and reliability analysis methods. However, research on formation mechanisms and processes, quantitative prediction, engineering and environmental influences, and mitigative measures of RTSs under a warming climate are still inadequate. Existing research methods, such as numerical simulations, remote sensing, airborne ground‐based geophysical surveys, investigations and mapping, and hydrothermal and deformation field monitoring, should be systematically integrated. Additionally, equipment for laboratory testing and numerical models for simulating RTSs may need to be timely introduced and better developed.

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Active Layer Detachment Slides and Retrogressive Thaw Slumps Susceptibility Mapping for Current and Future Permafrost Distribution, Yukon Alaska Highway Corridor

Cited by 14 publications

References 6 publications

Ongoing Landslide Deformation in Thawing Permafrost

Ongoing Landslide Deformation in Thawing Permafrost

Coastal Retreat Due to Thermodenudation on the Yugorsky Peninsula, Russia during the Last Decade, Update since 2001–2010

Advances in retrogressive thaw slump research in permafrost regions

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