Action reliability analysis under random‐interval hybrid uncertainty of chain conveyor based on adaptive intelligent extremum surrogate model

Abstract

The action responses of controlled mechanisms are often multiparametric, nonlinear, and uncertain. Complex dynamics and limited uncertain information pose difficulties for action reliability analysis. This paper develops an adaptive intelligent extremum surrogate model (AIESM) method for the action reliability under random‐interval hybrid uncertainty of a chain conveyor. First, a dynamic model of the chain conveyor is established, which considers the impact and frictional effects within the mechanical system, the regulating effects of the control system, and the external disturbances of the system. After that, a hybrid kernel extreme learning machine optimized by the sparrow search algorithm is employed as an intelligent surrogate model to construct the initial surrogate model from the hybrid uncertain variables to the limit state function (LSF) response and the extremum surrogate model (ESM) from the random variables to the LSF extremum response. An adaptive infilling strategy combining active learning and opposition‐based learning is applied to improve the accuracy and efficiency of the ESM and reduce the estimation error of action reliability. Finally, the action reliability interval bounds are obtained by Monte Carlo simulation based on the ESM. Two numerical examples are presented to illustrate the validity of the AIESM method. The action reliability interval of the chain conveyor provided by the proposed method is [0.9706, 0.9923].