2010
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2648.2009.05231.x
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Accidental falls in hospital inpatients: evaluation of sensitivity and specificity of two risk assessment tools

Abstract: The Conley Scale is indicated for use in the medical sector, on the strength of its high sensitivity. However, since its specificity is very low, it is deemed useful to submit individual patients giving positive results to more in-depth clinical evaluation in order to decide whether preventive measures need to be taken. In surgical sectors, the low sensitivity values given by both scales suggest that further studies are warranted.

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Cited by 52 publications
(63 citation statements)
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“…Many tools have been developed based on identified risk factors, but perform very poorly when trying to identify patients who will fall with reasonable specificity and positive predictive value. 34,[39][40][41][42][43][44] In fact, it has been demonstrated that using a nurse's judgment, a physician's opinion based on a patient's likelihood to wander or a simple 2-question tool have all performed better than sophisticated risk calculators. 33,45,46 Therefore, it is possible that interventions could benefit from including all patients, with de-emphasis on unproven risk stratification tools.…”
Section: Dibardino Et Al |mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Many tools have been developed based on identified risk factors, but perform very poorly when trying to identify patients who will fall with reasonable specificity and positive predictive value. 34,[39][40][41][42][43][44] In fact, it has been demonstrated that using a nurse's judgment, a physician's opinion based on a patient's likelihood to wander or a simple 2-question tool have all performed better than sophisticated risk calculators. 33,45,46 Therefore, it is possible that interventions could benefit from including all patients, with de-emphasis on unproven risk stratification tools.…”
Section: Dibardino Et Al |mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Among them, the most frequent are illness/disease, use of devices, gait alteration, ocular, auditory and cognitive impairment, impaired mobility and previous history of falls. Extrinsic factors are commonly related to the hospital environment conditions and to situations involving health care by a caregiver and interdisciplinary team (9)(10) . Among the extrinsic risk factors are: light switches out of reach, stairs, slippery floor, mats/carpets, improper lighting and inadequate footwear (9) .…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Importantly, this score was developed and validated in a group of 1135 general patients in an acute-care hospital based on logistic regression analysis of more than 600 variables for each patient [10]. Sensitivity of 75% and specificity of 74% have been reported with the use of this score for predicting falls in hospitalized patients [10]; however, this has been challenged recently [14]. In our study, the Hendrich score was a poor predictor of falls; this finding may have been due to the high use of peripheral nerve blocks and the clustering of falls during the first 48 hours when the blocks may have produced motor block.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%