Accident causation models developed in China between 1978 and 2018: Review and comparison

Ge, Jike; Zhang, Yuyuan; Chen, Shoukun; Xu, Kaili; Yao, Xiwen; Li, Ji-Shuo; Liu, Bo; Yan, Fang; Wu, Chunying; Li, Shuangyuan

doi:10.1016/j.ssci.2021.105653

Cited by 34 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 37 publications

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“…Since it was first proposed in 2005, 24Model has been applied in coal mines, 37–39 general aviation, 40,41 food, 42 chemical 43,44 and other fields, with certain results in accident analysis and accident prevention, especially in coal mines. 45 Consequently, a large amount of statistical data on unsafe acts in coal mine accidents has been retained. So far, nine master’s and doctor’s theses have used 24Model to conduct statistical analysis of coal mine gas explosion accidents and the unsafe acts obtained were one of the main contents of these theses.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Study on the reliability of accident analysis results: Taking two groups of four accident analysis references with the 24Model as samples

Jia

Gui

Xie

et al. 2022

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O:

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Accident prevention depends on accident analysis. In order to improve the reliability of accident analysis and find the common problems related to reliability in accident analysis, two groups of four papers of master’s and doctor’s theses which applied 24Model to analysis coal mine gas explosion accident were selected as samples. The unsafe act results obtained from the analysis are compared. The results show a low consistency level, which reflects that the reliability of the output needs to be improved. Through analysis, the inconsistency of details in causes description, the difficulty in the cause description and the omission of unsafe acts are the main reasons leading to the above situation. In order to standardize the description of cause items, the components of unsafe acts were defined as “premise + action”, and seven types of premises were summarized to judge unsafe acts. In order to improve the efficiency and reliability of accident analysis, it is suggested that the current data should be taken as reference, and the taxonomy based on consequences should be established to unify unsafe act detail description level, and the corresponding computer software should be developed to assist accident analysis.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Study on the reliability of accident analysis results: Taking two groups of four accident analysis references with the 24Model as samples

Jia

Gui

Xie

et al. 2022

Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O:

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…8 It allows a tool to assess multidimensional impacts 9 and the identification of multidimensional relationships in management. 10 In the field of safety science, there is a general need for a system thinking approach to understand the causes of accidents in order to prevent them. 11 As some factors not considered in the survey may play an important role in its validity, system thinking can provide the results of linkage and causal thinking away from stakeholder behavior in time and space.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The systematic approach views the occurrence of an accident as an emergency situation triggered by the interaction of multiple levels of factors in a sociotechnical work system 8 . It allows a tool to assess multidimensional impacts 9 and the identification of multidimensional relationships in management 10 . In the field of safety science, there is a general need for a system thinking approach to understand the causes of accidents in order to prevent them 11 .…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Significance ranking and correlation identification of accident causes in process industry based on system thinking and statistical analysis

Zhang

Zhong

Shi

et al. 2023

Process Safety Progress

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Accidents in process industry occur frequently with serious casualties and property losses. This paper builds an accident causation model of process industry based on system thinking by dividing the accident causation system into 4 subsystems and 22 factors. A combination of grey relational analysis and correspondence analysis is conducted to carry out a structured analysis of the collected data. The research contains three main parts: (1) Grey relational analysis is used to obtain the significance ranking of 22 cause factors in process industry, and three critical cause factors are identified as “Security inspection,” “Risk identification,” and “Security awareness.” (2) Through correspondence analysis, the correlations between three sets of variables are analyzed and the cause factors requiring focused attention are identified as “Electric spark,” “Temperature,” “Raw material control,” “Punching phenomenon,” “Equipment clogging,” and “Combustible gases.” (3) An intelligent monitoring scheme is developed for the critical factors of each subsystem, which aims to achieve real‐time monitoring and early warning by means of video surveillance and sensor placement for the human, equipment, and environment subsystems. The conclusions obtained from this study can be used to enhance the efficiency of safety management and reduce the probability of accident occurrence in the process industry.

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“…Therefore, some scholars have begun to build simulation models to evaluate the entire process of building accidents in order to better extract the variables that cause accidents and investigate the handling procedures that can help to maintain good safety performance. For construction accidents, Ge et al ( 2022 ) looked at the application of five common accident causation models in China from 1978 to 2018, finding the significant influence of previous modeling research on policy formation, accident investigation and treatment, and safety management measures in the Chinese government. Cabello et al ( 2021 ) further analyzed the various phases of engineering construction to point out the priority of outsourcing variables in accidents and demonstrated the importance of risk assessment.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Evolutionary Game of Post-conflict Management for New Generation of Construction Workers in China: The Mediating Role of Foremen

Peng

Zhang

2022

Front. Psychol.

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The emotional perception of the new generation of Chinese construction workers is becoming stronger, and the traditional punishment-type management model is gradually failing. In order to address the safety hazards caused by the negative emotions generated after workers' conflict events, the motivation of workers to actively participate in the construction of safety climate is increased, and the safety performance of construction projects is enhanced. This paper introduces emotional event theory to assess workers' psychological perceptions and uses foreman as an intermediary for safety management to analyze the decision-making process between managers and work-groups in the safety management process. By establishing a tripartite evolutionary game model of manager, foreman, and worker, the evolutionary differences among the three parties when the manager is strict or appeasing are examined. The results of the study showed that managers who showed appeasement were more effective than those who showed stringency in accomplishing the safety goals of the project. As the workers' psychological perception index increased, workers were more inclined to adopt aggressive strategies, and their behavior was more influenced by their own moral identity as well as the foreman's attitude under the manager's appeasement attitude. This study can provide managers with suggestions on how to handle the situation after a conflict, which can help regulate the behavior of construction teams and eliminate safety risks.

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Accident causation models developed in China between 1978 and 2018: Review and comparison

Cited by 34 publications

References 37 publications

Study on the reliability of accident analysis results: Taking two groups of four accident analysis references with the 24Model as samples

Study on the reliability of accident analysis results: Taking two groups of four accident analysis references with the 24Model as samples

Significance ranking and correlation identification of accident causes in process industry based on system thinking and statistical analysis

The Evolutionary Game of Post-conflict Management for New Generation of Construction Workers in China: The Mediating Role of Foremen

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