“…Thus, we would expect countries with higher number of prevalent cases to be more likely to provide spillovers to other countries. To examine whether our analyses is consistent with this expectation, we estimated the country-specific number of HIV subtype B infections by multiplying the total number of people living with HIV-1 per country until 2011, based on the UNAIDS figures (www.unaids.org), by the percentage of subtype B in each country (Abecasis et al, 2013, Avi et al, 2009, Balode et al, 2012, Ciccozzi et al, 2005, Ivanov et al, 2013, Saad et al, 2006, Stanojevic et al, 2012, Ustina et al, 2001). We then examined the association between the number of HIV subtype B infections per country/region and the number of countries that each country/region exported viral strains in analysis (4) by running a regression analysis.…”