“…Before the agricultural development of its catchment, the south basin of Lake Manitoba likely exhibited mesotrophic conditions, as suggested by historically low sedimentary concentrations of P, N and C, low fossil pigment concentrations, low concentrations of diatom and cyanobacteria micro-fossils, and a planktonic diatom assemblage indicative of meso-eutrophic conditions. Such naturally mesotrophic conditions also have been reconstructed for a variety of presently eutrophic prairie lakes (Bjorndahl et al, 2022;Dixit et al, 2000;Hall et al, 1999;Maheaux et al, 2016;Pham et al, 2008;Vinebrooke et al, 1998), confirming that, despite high baseline fertility, water quality has declined over much of the prairies since the onset of European-style agriculture. Substantial increases in biological production, particularly by diatoms, suggest that horse-drawn and later mechanised tillage mobilised the naturally high amounts of P, N and probably silicon (Si) (Allan & Williams, 1978;Edlund et al, 2009;Gibson et al, 2000), from soils into Lake Manitoba, as seen elsewhere in the Prairies during the late 19th and early 20th centuries (Dixit et al, 2000;Hall et al, 1999).…”