A Value Sensitive ABM of the Refugee Crisis in the Netherlands

Gore, Ross; Wozny, Phillip; Dignum, Frank; Shults, F. LeRon; Burken, Christine Boshuijzen-van; Royakkers, Lmm Lambèr

doi:10.23919/springsim.2019.8732867

Cited by 8 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 12 publications

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“…We will describe our DPEN model in detail below. The flee migration model has already been presented initially [3], and the modifications have been made for version 2.0 in [19]. We also present and validate a coupled model, where the DPEN model informs the assumptions (in terms of environmental accessibility) in flee.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Analysing the effect of a dynamic physical environment network on the travel dynamics of forcibly displaced persons in Mali

Freek,

Alireza,

Bas

et al. 2024

IJNDI

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Article Analysing the effect of a dynamic physical environment network on the travel dynamics of forcibly displaced persons in Mali Boesjes Freek 1, Jahani Alireza 2, Ooink Bas 3, and Derek Groen 2,* 1 Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 8, Utrecht, Utrecht 3584 CS, the Netherlands 2 Computer Science Department, Brunel University London, Wilfred Brown Building, Kingston Lane, Uxbridge UB8 3PH, UK 3 Blue Team Intelligence, Jan Aertshof 3, Hoevelaken 3871 WH, the Netherlands * Correspondence: Derek.Groen@brunel.ac.uk Received: 7 September 2023 Accepted: 30 January 2024 Published: 26 March 2024 Abstract: As of 2023, the world has approximately 100 million refugees, many of whom have been displaced by violent conflicts. Accurately predicting where these people may go can help non-government organisations (NGOs) and other support organisations to more effectively help these refugees. In this paper, we extend the existing flee migration forecasting model which models migration using intelligent agents with a dynamic network that represents the physical environment. In doing so, we integrate time-dependent data into four different characteristics from three public data sources. We obtain data from aspects such as the slope, drainage, soil and infrastructure, and use these aspects to systematically modify the movement preferences of forcibly displaced agents in the flee model. We showcase our approach by applying it to the 2012 northern Mali conflict. We find that numerous routes previously deemed traversable are actually inaccessible for prolonged periods according to sensor data, and a range of off-road routes are instead traversable for vehicles. We also perform a validation comparison with the original modelling approach, and find that our revised representation of travel routes leads to a reduction of 4.5% in the averaged relative difference. Our approach can be reused in other flee conflict contexts, of which five are present in the EU-funded ITFLOWS project alone. Our work provides the ability to represent a dynamic physical environment and potentially improves the simulation accuracy in a range of flee conflict situations.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Examples of ABM models in forced migration include models of events in refugee settlements (e.g. [18]), models of refugees within urban communities (e.g., [19]) as well as models of capturing the values of refugees [20,21].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysing the effect of a dynamic physical environment network on the travel dynamics of forcibly displaced persons in Mali

Freek,

Alireza,

Bas

et al. 2024

IJNDI

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“…(Dignum et al 2010;Neumann 2012;Verhagen 2001). The cognitive and psychological realism of simulated agents in MAAI models has increased rapidly in recent years, which has improved their explanatory and forecasting power in policy-relevant domains such as immigrant integration (Gore et al 2019), the mitigation of intergroup conflict (Shults et al 2018a, b, c), and the role of education in secularization (Gore et al 2018).…”

Section: State Of the Art Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Minding morality: ethical artificial societies for public policy modeling

2020

Self Cite

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Public policies are designed to have an impact on particular societies, yet policy-oriented computer models and simulations often focus more on articulating the policies to be applied than on realistically rendering the cultural dynamics of the target society. This approach can lead to policy assessments that ignore crucial social contextual factors. For example, by leaving out distinctive moral and normative dimensions of cultural contexts in artificial societies, estimations of downstream policy effectiveness fail to account for dynamics that are fundamental in human life and central to many public policy challenges. In this paper, we supply evidence that incorporating morally salient dimensions of a culture is critically important for producing relevant and accurate evaluations of social policy when using multi-agent artificial intelligence models and simulations.

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“…In order to create this kind of policy, more research on Eritrean asylum seekers in the Netherlands is required. Research on this particular group of newcomers also is relevant as the current climate in the Netherlands, similar to other Western European countries, grows increasingly more hostile to newcomers (Gore et al 2019). A better understanding of the role of religion in the Eritrean integration process would therefore benefit not only the hosting society but also the newly arriving immigrants, as it would provide insight in the advantages and pitfalls of the process.…”

Section: Context and Problem Identificationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The term 'newcomer' does not refer to any type of legal status and can refer to both status holders and asylum seekers. The term, therefore, simply refers to one who recently arrived (Gore et al 2019). Within this paper the duration of recently is standardised to be on arrival within the last ten years.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Negotiating the sacred: the lived religion of Eritrean newcomers and their process of integration in the Netherlands

Derks

Sremac

2020

Practical Theology

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This research analysed the data gathered from ten interviews with Eritrean newcomers living in Amsterdam on the relation between their experiences of lived religion and the experience of their process of integration in the Netherlands. The narratives reflect the participants' attempts to combine their religious worlds, which are one of the few things they brought from Eritrea, with their new lives in their newly found place of residence. The narratives provide rich examples of their willingness to negotiate the 'rules of religion' with 'the rules of the host culture'. Finally, suggestions for the helping professions and care providers of newcomers' service will be offered.

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A Value Sensitive ABM of the Refugee Crisis in the Netherlands

Cited by 8 publications

References 12 publications

Analysing the effect of a dynamic physical environment network on the travel dynamics of forcibly displaced persons in Mali

Analysing the effect of a dynamic physical environment network on the travel dynamics of forcibly displaced persons in Mali

Minding morality: ethical artificial societies for public policy modeling

Negotiating the sacred: the lived religion of Eritrean newcomers and their process of integration in the Netherlands

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