A universal model for predicting human migration under climate change: examining future sea level rise in Bangladesh

Davis, Kyle Frankel; Bhattachan, Abinash; D’Odorico, Paolo; Suweis, Samir

doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aac4d4

Cited by 94 publications

(106 citation statements)

References 58 publications

(77 reference statements)

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“…Potential relevant papers and titles and abstracts screened (n=1214) Bangladesh has already begun to experience the adverse effects of global warming by extreme river floods, tropical cyclones, rising sea level, coastal erosion, droughts and very high temperatures [1,2], [5], [9,10], [14], [17], [18,19], [25,[27][28][29][30]32]. Bangladesh has ranked 5 th according to Global Climate Risk Index [10].…”

Section: Figure-1 Diagram Of Review Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For instance, Huq et al found in their study that if sea level will rise by 1 m, then in Bangladesh, almost 25000 km 2 of land (>17.5% of total land) could be inundation, more than 1.2 million ha of arable land could be lost, 13 million population could be displaced and the world largest mangrove forest, Sundarbans would be totally distracted [17]. A one-meter SLR will cause salinity intrusion, river bank erosion, crop failure, frequent floods and storm surges, increase in cyclone intensity, loss of biodiversity, fisheries destruction, lack of fresh water which will affect all the ecosystem of the country [14,38,41]. The arable land will be decreased and wholeheartedly which may affect the entire countries food supplying system beside the water resources will be drastically reduced; which may break down the whole environmental system [18,29].…”

Section: Impacts Of Sea Level Rise On Crop Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Rising temperature will lead to stronger and frequent cyclones and storms in the Bay of Bengal [14]. Almost every year, Bangladesh, particularly the coastal regions face natural calamities like floods, cyclones, storms, and tidal bores and nearly 80% area is prone to flooding [46].…”

Section: Impacts Of Floods and Cyclones On Crop Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In recent years, Bangladesh achieved enormous success in economic growth and poverty reduction, where, poverty has been reduced almost 26% from 1991 to 2010 [11][12][13]. Agriculture has been playing the dominant sector for economic growth for a long [14,15]. Alongside providing raw materials for industries, agriculture plays a significant role in ensuring country's food security; rural poverty reduction, employment generation, and importing foreign currency [16].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The issue of climate change and its adverse impact on food production has been recognized in Bangladesh extensively. Because, in the country, food production often face tremendous difficulties due to climate change [14,[25][26][27][28]. Seasonal characteristics, CO 2 , rainfall, light intensity, temperature, soil and water salinity are strongly influencing to the agricultural activities in Bangladesh [27,29].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 4 more Smart Citations

Impacts of Climate Change on Crop Production in Bangladesh: A Review

2019

JAC

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Climate change and its impact on human-environment are immeasurable because of its multidimensional effects. But the effect is not same for all countries, it depends on the countries geographical settings. Alongside location, education of the people, environmental awareness, somewhat might minimize the probability of loss in response to any kinds of disasters. Undertaken study was conducted based on an extensive published literatures (197-between 1995 and 2018) review with a view to consolidating the possible impacts of climate change on crop production in Bangladesh. It has found that already the impact has begun badly in Bangladesh. Temperature is gradually rising, frequency of floods, river bank erosion, storm surge, magnitude of cyclone, salinity intrusion, and the volatility of rainfall has increased comparing to past. All these led to the probability of decreasing the crop production. As climate change has become a great concern for countries food security, it is now the appropriate time to take and install proper rules and regulations through inflexible attitude. With the help of various international and national organizations government of Bangladesh inordinately trying to reduce the consequences of climate change. A comprehensive measurement must make sure to enhance the capability of encountering climate change, otherwise it will cost of enormous loss, especially on agriculture in Bangladesh.

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Section: Figure-1 Diagram Of Review Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Impacts Of Sea Level Rise On Crop Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Impacts Of Floods and Cyclones On Crop Productionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Impacts of Climate Change on Crop Production in Bangladesh: A Review

2019

JAC

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Anticipating sea‐level rise and human migration: A review of empirical evidence and avenues for future research

Duijndam

Botzen

Hagedoorn

et al. 2021

WIREs Climate Change

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Sea‐level rise (SLR) threatens millions of people living in coastal areas through permanent inundation and other SLR‐related hazards. Migration is one way for people to adapt to these coastal changes, but presents an enormous policy challenge given the number of people affected. Knowledge about the relationship between SLR‐related hazards and migration is therefore important to allow for anticipatory policymaking. In recent years, an increasing number of empirical studies have investigated, using survey or census data, how SLR‐related hazards including flooding, salinization, and erosion together with non‐environmental factors influence migration behavior. In this article, we provide a systematic literature review of this empirical work. Our review findings indicate that flooding is not necessarily associated with increased migration. Severe flood events even tend to decrease long‐term migration in developing countries, although more research is needed to better understand the underpinnings of this finding. Salinization and erosion do generally lead to migration, but the number of studies is sparse. Several non‐environmental factors including wealth and place attachment influence migration alongside SLR‐related hazards. Based on the review, we propose a research agenda by outlining knowledge gaps and promising avenues for future research on this topic. Promising research avenues include using behavioral experiments to investigate migration behavior under future SLR scenarios, studying migration among other adaptation strategies, and complementing empirical research with dynamic migration modeling. We conclude that more empirical research on the SLR‐migration nexus is needed to properly understand and anticipate the complex dynamics of migration under SLR, and to design adequate policy responses. This article is categorized under: Climate Economics < Aggregation Techniques for Impacts and Mitigation Costs Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change < Learning from Cases and Analogies Assessing Impacts of Climate Change < Evaluating Future Impacts of Climate Change

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Decision‐making factor interactions influencing climate migration: A systems‐based systematic review

Nabong

Hocking

Opdyke

et al. 2023

WIREs Climate Change

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Global migration and mobility dynamics are expected to shift in the coming decades as a result of climate change. However, the extent to which migration is caused by climate hazards, in contrast or addition to other intervening factors, is a point of debate in literature. In this study, we conducted a systematic literature review to identify and consolidate factors which directly and indirectly influence climate change migration. In our review of the literature, we found a total of 21 economic, environmental, demographic, political, social, and personal intervening decision‐making factors which affect climate migration. Causal interactions between these factors were identified using an axial qualitative coding technique called purposive text analysis. By combining causal links, a semi‐quantitative causal loop diagram was created that represented factor interaction and feedback within the “climate migration system.” Using this model, we highlight influential feedback loops and point to how intervention strategies may cause downstream effects. This research helps to address calls for a better understanding of the complex decision‐making dynamics in climate migration. In particular, results from our causal feedback loops show that intervention strategies targeted toward economic factors such as financial capital and livelihoods, as well as food security, would have the greatest impact in assisting climate‐affected communities. These results help inform climate migration policy and aid planners in the future to better understand the interconnected system of factors that lead to the emergent outcome of climate migration. This article is categorized under: Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change > Learning from Cases and Analogies The Social Status of Climate Change Knowledge > Climate Science and Decision Making

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A universal model for predicting human migration under climate change: examining future sea level rise in Bangladesh

Cited by 94 publications

References 58 publications

Impacts of Climate Change on Crop Production in Bangladesh: A Review

Impacts of Climate Change on Crop Production in Bangladesh: A Review

Anticipating sea‐level rise and human migration: A review of empirical evidence and avenues for future research

Decision‐making factor interactions influencing climate migration: A systems‐based systematic review

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