A Trump Effect on the EU’s Popularity? The U.S. Presidential Election as a Natural Experiment

Minkus, Lara; Deutschmann, Emanuel; Delhey, Jan

doi:10.1017/s1537592718003262

Cited by 38 publications

(43 citation statements)

References 43 publications

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“…Because France and the Netherlands are the two countries serving as benchmark, I exclude them to ensure exogeneity. 6 With this strategy, I follow existing regression discontinuity designs from public opinion research (Minkus et al, 2018). Moreover, this ensures that the estimates are restricted to the referendum effects outside the voting population, as the horizontal benchmarking mechanism would suggest.…”

Section: Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Asymmetric ratification standards and popular perceptions of legitimacy

Schraff

2020

Journal of European Public Policy

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Section: Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Asymmetric ratification standards and popular perceptions of legitimacy

Schraff

2020

Journal of European Public Policy

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“…The main methodological challenge of this type of design (e.g. Minkus, Deutschmann, & Delhey, 2019;Slothuus, 2010) is ensuring that respondents interviewed before and after the event are comparable and the difference between treated and controlled could be attributed to the events. Table 1 shows a balancing test for the background characteristics asked about in the survey using a multinomial regression model.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Pride and Protest: Emotional response in the aftermath of the Chilean social outburst

Olivos¹,

Ayala²,

Leyton³

2020

Preprint

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In recent months, Chile, like many other countries around the world, has undergone a wave of widespread street protests calling for structural changes and challenging the “Chilean miracle.” This study uses an interrupted public opinion poll to assess the effect on the moral sentiments of the general population of the first weeks of the Chilean social crisis that began in October 2019. Our findings suggest that emotions toward the country, official symbols, and economic development were negatively affected by the crisis. Protests signaled that not everything in the country was as thought, generating a moral shock that affected shared emotions about the country. However, at the same time, the specific reciprocal moral sentiments between fellow citizens were positively affected. Hence, the social crisis emerges as an opportunity to strengthen collective ties either by sharing sentiments toward who is responsible for the movement or between Chileans. In the aftermath of October 18, the effect on emotions could explain the massive scale and durability of the social movement.

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“…But tools for analyzing social media turned out to be too expensive and not Persian-friendly enough. Google Trends, as it is deployed by many scholars (e.g., Choi and Varian 2012;Mellon 2013;Mellon 2014;Minkus et al 2019) was an alternative for our goal. We searched for the popularity of street slogans on the web, which includes any kind of a text published on the internet (if Google indexes it).…”

Section: Iran Protest In 2017/2018mentioning

confidence: 99%

Computational Conflict Research

Deutschmann¹,

Lorenz²,

Nardin³

et al. 2020

Computational Social Sciences

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A Trump Effect on the EU’s Popularity? The U.S. Presidential Election as a Natural Experiment

Cited by 38 publications

References 43 publications

Asymmetric ratification standards and popular perceptions of legitimacy

Asymmetric ratification standards and popular perceptions of legitimacy

Pride and Protest: Emotional response in the aftermath of the Chilean social outburst

Computational Conflict Research

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