A transitions model for sustainable mobility

Köhler, Jonathan; Whitmarsh, Lorraine; Nykvist, Björn; Schilperoord, Michel; Bergman, Noam; Haxeltine, Alex

doi:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2009.06.027

Cited by 202 publications

(122 citation statements)

References 14 publications

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“…A few examples incorporating transition-theoretical concepts into urban studies exist, including Bulkeley et al (2011) and Hodson & Marvin (2010). A few authors have also addressed urban mobility and transport within the framework of transition theory (Köhler et al, 2009;Zijlstra & Avelino, 2011;Scheller, 2011 andBertolini, 2011). None of the above-mentioned contributions inspired by transition theory have, however, dealt extensively with the development of urban land use and transport infrastructure nor have the various sustainability and climaterelated impacts of this development been addressed in a comprehensive way.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sustainable urban development and the multi-level transition perspective

Næss

Vogel

2012

Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions

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This article discusses some challenges and possible adaptations of transition theory as a framework for analyzing the prospects for environmentally more sustainable development of urban land use and transport infrastructure. Rather than depending first and foremost on niche innovations, a transition toward sustainable urban development is a matter of changing the composition of existing multisegmented land use and transportation regimes. Those well-experienced forms of built environment and transport infrastructure that are in line with sustainability objectives should be strengthened while those that are not should be actively constrained and reduced. Urban development in a Danish provincial city is used as a case to illustrate some of the points made in the theoretical part of the article. Due to the wide gap between present conditions and those required to realize a sustainable urban development, more attention should be directed toward landscape level conditions and possibilities for changing them.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sustainable urban development and the multi-level transition perspective

Næss

Vogel

2012

Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions

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“…Against this background, the German government stepped in to support the nationally important automotive industry (Schwedes et al, 2013, p. 75 (Dijk et al, 2013, p. 138;Köhler et al, 2009Köhler et al, , p. 2985.…”

Section: Early Evidence: the Case Of Germanymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…regarding CO 2 -emissions) leads to at least some concern and efforts towards sustainability-oriented change. Typically, this type of change is hoped to be achieved with the help of technological innovations (Köhler et al, 2009(Köhler et al, , p. 2986, such as the battery-electric vehicle (BEV). A number of problems impede their widespread introduction and diffusion, though.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Analysing the potential for sustainable e-mobility – The case of Germany

Augenstein

2015

Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions

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The current momentum in the electrification of the car fuels hope for a transition in mobility.However, electric vehicles have failed before and it is thus asked: What is the potential of emobility developing as a sustainable system innovation? In order to deal with this challenge analytically, a theoretical framework is developed: the concepts of transformative capacity of a new technology (do electric vehicles trigger 'social' innovations, e.g. new business models or use patterns?) and system adaptability (how stable is the mobility regime?) are introduced and the issue of sustainability is discussed. This framework will be explored for the German innovation system for e-mobility. It can be shown that electric cars will only be successful when part of a system innovation and that the German innovation system is dominated by regime actors and thus potentially used as a way to fend off more substantial change.

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“…The conceptual framework of the Matisse model was dedicated to analyzing and simulating transition dynamics, while ensuring broad consistency with theoretical and empirical work [26]. After implementation, the model was applied among others to the analysis of personal (inland) transportation behavior in the UK [28]. This typically involved model parameterization and calibration in terms of appropriate starting conditions for regimes and niches, suitable practice dimensions, and representative landscape signals.…”

Section: Modeling Transition Dynamicsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The first is the transition model of [25][26][27][28] developed in the EU MATISSE project. In this agent-based model, societal change is perceived as an ongoing competition between a currently established regime, and emerging and competing niches, in response to landscape changes.…”

Section: Modeling Transition Dynamicsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Accelerating Transition Dynamics in City Regions: A Qualitative Modeling Perspective

Valkering

Yücel

Gebetsroither-Geringer

et al. 2017

Sustainability

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Abstract:In this article, we take stock of the findings from conceptual and empirical work on the role of transition initiatives for accelerating transitions as input for modeling acceleration dynamics. We applied the qualitative modeling approach of causal loop diagrams to capture the dynamics of a single transition initiative evolving within its regional context. In doing so, we aim to address two key challenges in transition modeling, namely conceptualization, and the framing of empirical insights obtained for various case study regions in a consistent modeling framework. Our results show that through this systematic approach one can translate conceptual and qualitative empirical work into a transition model design. Moreover, the causal loop diagrams can be used as discussion tools to support dialogue among researchers and stakeholders, and may support a comparison of transition dynamics across case-study regions. We reflect on main limitations related to empirical model validation (lack of data) and to model structure (high level of aggregation), and describe next steps for moving from a qualitative single transition initiative to a quantitative multiple transition initiatives model.

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A transitions model for sustainable mobility

Cited by 202 publications

References 14 publications

Sustainable urban development and the multi-level transition perspective

Sustainable urban development and the multi-level transition perspective

Analysing the potential for sustainable e-mobility – The case of Germany

Accelerating Transition Dynamics in City Regions: A Qualitative Modeling Perspective

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